Re: Interesting Economic Times - What is going on with the econom
Just something else to consider from some of the articles I've been reading ...
1. Home prices peak as speculation in R/E tops out.
2. Housing construction stalls, home builder stocks drop.
3. Undocumented temps laid off first, government data still positive.
4. Mortgage lending impacts/layoffs; ARMS start resetting; foreclosures rise.
5. R/E home prices fall, inventory builds and bank raise reserves to compensate.
6. Credit tightens and financial paper assets fall as liquidity in the system contracts.
7. Tight credit impacts small businesses and consumers putting more loans at risk; more layoffs
8. Consumer’s tapped out; consumer discretionary spending impacts; sector BK’sand layoffs.
9. Business spending contracts
10. Commercial R/E vacancy rates rise; increase in commercial loan defaults
11. More layoffs, more home foreclosures, more bank failures; credit tightens even further.
12. Income, property and sales tax revenues decline; local government layoffs
13. Muni-bond defaults
14. More layoffs, foreclosures, small business closings, contracting businesses & govt.
We're currently around #7 or #8.
Just something else to consider from some of the articles I've been reading ...
1. Home prices peak as speculation in R/E tops out.
2. Housing construction stalls, home builder stocks drop.
3. Undocumented temps laid off first, government data still positive.
4. Mortgage lending impacts/layoffs; ARMS start resetting; foreclosures rise.
5. R/E home prices fall, inventory builds and bank raise reserves to compensate.
6. Credit tightens and financial paper assets fall as liquidity in the system contracts.
7. Tight credit impacts small businesses and consumers putting more loans at risk; more layoffs
8. Consumer’s tapped out; consumer discretionary spending impacts; sector BK’sand layoffs.
9. Business spending contracts
10. Commercial R/E vacancy rates rise; increase in commercial loan defaults
11. More layoffs, more home foreclosures, more bank failures; credit tightens even further.
12. Income, property and sales tax revenues decline; local government layoffs
13. Muni-bond defaults
14. More layoffs, foreclosures, small business closings, contracting businesses & govt.
We're currently around #7 or #8.
Dislike ads? Remove them and support the forum:
Subscribe to Fastlane Insiders.