Proclaiming that a very intelligent economist is unquestionably “wrong” carries even a greater level of the grandiose confidence you are off-put by. Especially considering he has earned the ability to be grandiose, unlike the average BTC bull.
He has been calling for the collapse of bitcoin for at least 10 years, and it continues to rocket up at a meteoric pace. Every time it rockets up, he doubles down on how terrible it is and that it will go to 0.
To me, that's pretty unequivocally and objectively "wrong" and incorrect on his calls on Bitcoin at every step of the way .
This isn't about speaking loudly and being "grandiose" or having a strong opinion.
He's been
objectively wrong.
Peter is only really guilty of being too careful, but there are plenty of people that aren’t messing with Bitcoin. Is Warren Buffet also “soiled” in your book? Is Ray Dalio? Are countless other billionaires?
Buffet is on record as saying the reason he invests in anything is because he understands it deeply. And he's not invested in Bitcoin.
Logically, it's safe to say he doesn't understand it and all his on-the-record statements on BTC corroborate.
Ray Dalio has also come out on the record saying that
he is not against Bitcoin, and that
Bridgewater is investigating it for his fund, and is speaking at
Consensus 2021 this year.
Like Buffet, Dalio believes strongly that you need to know a market inside and out to participate. He has concerns (some valid, some not), and admits he doesn't know nearly enough about it to be competent participating in the market.
It's not at all surprising that two geriatrics don't fully understand BTC and I understand if they don't want to invest the time to fully understand the market to participate.
If your gauge for whether or not BTC is a good investment is because of what Buffet or Dalio are doing, you may want to consider a different compass.
For example, Paul Tudor Jones is still actively managing his fund and he
has published a strong bull case for BTC, and made big moves to back that up.
As for Peter, he is informed on BTC. Very informed. And consistently made the wrong call from a social, economic and investing
perspective.
If not, the only other explanation is that he is a gold bull... So many Bitcoin people have a visceral hatred for gold
IDK, this isn't my experience.
Most people I know who are in crypto were also big proponents of gold, as well. Most started by being fans of Schiff (and thus gold), including people like Erik Voorhees (founder of Shapeshift, who debated
Schiff on Bitcoin in 2018)
That is, until it did absolutely nothing during the most incredible and unprecedented injection of cash into the money supply in history.
When an asset doesn't do it's job, it's not a surprise that investors sour on it. It didn't deliver on its promise. If BTC didn't go up during this huge inflation, you would see people souring on BTC, too, like I nearly did during the first 2 months of COVID where it was a total dog.
I'd hardly call that a visceral hatred. Sounds more like a rational understanding.
Look, I know we have mutual respect @cslavato... please understand, I am just calling it like I see it. I know you guys like when I do that. This is more of a statement on the crypto community as a whole and not really targeted at you specifically.
No offense taken. I enjoy the conversation.