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Sales forecasting question

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B. Cole

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Happy Sunday Fastlaners.

I'm gaging my target audience and setting up realistic expectations as I wait on others for progress on my product.

Total compatible households for the item in the US are 5 million. Customers to benefit greatly from the product I feel are 3 million.

But the real taters - figuring how many people would actually buy, perplexes me. I can't find sales numbers from competitors. Other products are getting 700 - 800 reviews on Amazon, a couple hundred on Walmart. It's a 20 dollar item, competitively priced that solves the issue other products missed.

I could pick a number and say I'll sell 5% of the market, but I just don't know. My question is, if licensing through a company already well established in the market, what percentage of the market typically buys? I know this depends on marketing and a lot of other things, I'm just looking for averages.

Thanks in advance for any responses. Been searching for days with no clear answers. I know it's mostly a guess, just wanted to see your experiences.
 
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Etl zuas timg, xju ot zuas dunqivovoup.

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Op effovoup vu xjev uvjis qutvt op vjot opvisitvoph raitvoup jewi fiwimuqif. Jisi ot e tonqmi uqvoup vu duptofis. Hiv e taswiz huoph up xjisi zuas neslivnopf ot mophisoph epf txonnoph. Pu piif gus e fiiq fowi. Etl e taswiz raitvoup vu zuas eafoipdi. Hiv tuni 'caz wocit' gsun tuni tihnipv ug zuas nesliv. Hiv quttocmz e malixesn us 'juv' qsitimm mepfis uqisevoup huoph. Tonqmi epf txiiv.
 
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Stop Peeking Through the Keyhole.
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You hit a wall because the best advice isn't free—it's earned. Since 2007, MJ DeMarco has been active here daily (99.9% active rate), building a war room for entrepreneurs who refuse to settle for mediocrity.

  • Active Daily: Life-changing content posted dozens of times every day. No dead threads.
  • MJ's Inner Circle: Direct access to the author of The Millionaire Fastlane.
  • Vetted Network: Connect with founders scaling to 7 and 8 figures.
  • Proven Roadmaps: Strategy over motivation. Execution over "hustle porn."
"SCALED TO 6-FIGURE MONTHS"
"Tips and advice here saved me from huge mistakes, others allowed me to scale my business to 6-figure months."
— User MitchC
"INSANE QUALITY OF PEOPLE"
"The number of high quality people I've met from this forum has been insane. All of it predicated on building real value."
— User Richard Peck

"You are the average of the five people you surround yourself with."
Are you surrounding yourself with success?

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