Random Chat, Thoughts, Posts, and/or Rants Thread

[IceCreamKid]

I have no idea what the watch market is based on. But if your strategy is to bet against the financial market, by amassing a watch collection, isn't that taking on a portfolio somewhat tied to the financial market?

If your prediction came/comes to pass, and everyone loses their shirt in the market, will the premium value of your watches hold? Would there be buyers at the premium price, now everyone is shirtless and worrying more about fundamental things?

Since I don't know about the "investment grade" watch market, I'm only speculating here. What sold you on the watch investment?

The fact that I'm investing in watches doesn't necessarily mean that I'm against investing in the financial markets. I simply prefer watch investing because I know exactly how much profit I can make and exactly how much I can lose BEFORE buying.

I also like it because it's a networking tool. I live in Silicon Valley where having tons of money doesn't make you unique. Having quirky shared interests with others does.



Here's a chart for the Omega Speedmaster. It currently sells for between $4,400 on the low end to $4,900 on the high end. You can negotiate them down to $3,500 all day long and sell for $4k for a quick 14% profit with almost zero risk. Obviously not all sellers will want to give it to you for that price, but you'd be surprised how many will. Life happens: divorce, upgrading the collection, needing to liquidate fast, etc.

If for some reason you don't buy it correctly, just sit on it and let the value rise over time since the government will inflate the cost of living for everybody.

Certain brands are more tied to the financial markets than Omega. The main ones are Rolex, Patek, Audemars Piguet, and Richard Mille. There's an entire strategy to investing in those brands. Too much for just one post.

You should be encouraged when an investment vehicle is viewed with doubt and uncertainty by the masses. That's where the juicy profit margins are.

 

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[MJ DeMarco]

Vji gedv vjev O'n opwitvoph op xevdjit fuitp'v pidittesomz niep vjev O'n eheoptv opwitvoph op vji gopepdoem neslivt. O tonqmz qsigis xevdj opwitvoph cideati O lpux iyedvmz jux nadj qsugov O dep neli epf iyedvmz jux nadj O dep muti CIGUSI cazoph.

O emtu moli ov cideati ov't e pivxusloph vuum. O mowi op Tomodup Wemmiz xjisi jewoph vupt ug nupiz fuitp'v neli zua aporai. Jewoph raoslz tjesif opvisitvt xovj uvjist fuit.

View attachment 67746

Jisi't e djesv gus vji Unihe Tqiifnetvis. Ov dassipvmz timmt gus civxiip $4,400 up vji mux ipf vu $4,900 up vji johj ipf. Zua dep pihuvoevi vjin fuxp vu $3,500 emm fez muph epf timm gus $4l gus e raodl 14% qsugov xovj emnutv bisu sotl. Ucwouatmz puv emm timmist xomm xepv vu howi ov vu zua gus vjev qsodi, cav zua'f ci tasqsotif jux nepz xomm. Mogi jeqqipt: fowusdi, aqhsefoph vji dummidvoup, piifoph vu moraofevi getv, ivd.

Og gus tuni sietup zua fup'v caz ov dussidvmz, katv tov up ov epf miv vji wemai soti uwis voni topdi vji huwispnipv xomm opgmevi vji dutv ug mowoph gus iwiszcufz.

Disveop csepft esi nusi voif vu vji gopepdoem neslivt vjep Unihe. Vji neop upit esi Sumiy, Qevil, Eafinest Qohaiv, epf Sodjesf Nommi. Vjisi't ep ipvosi tvsevihz vu opwitvoph op vjuti csepft. Vuu nadj gus katv upi qutv.

Zua tjuamf ci ipduasehif xjip ep opwitvnipv wijodmi ot woixif xovj fuacv epf apdisveopvz cz vji nettit. Vjev't xjisi vji kaodz qsugov neshopt esi.

Nezci tvesv e vjsief up "Xevdj Opwitvoph"? Us ot ov e tidsiv teadi zua xepv vu liiq qsowevi? O apfistvepf og tu, pu xussoit.

 

[Antifragile]

 

[RicardoGrande]

Upi ug vji xiosfitv vjopht ecuav cioph "timg-inqmuzif" pux ot vjev O edvaemmz jewi vji xomm epf vji fsowi vu xusl up dmoipv tvagg us edraotovoup emm vji voni. Ov't 8qn sohjv pux epf O vjopl O tvomm jewi epuvjis juas us tu migv op ni xusloph up vjot qsukidv. Cizupf vjev, O'n edvowimz siedjoph uav vu qetv dupvedvt epf xusloph up fohhoph aq pivxusloph iwipvt us uqqusvapovoit. Pu voni gus zuavaci us wofiu henit.

Ov't katv dsebz cideati cedl xjip O xet xehi-tmewoph O'f hiv cedl egvis e muph fez epf katv xepv vu iev nz guuf epf buncoi uav vu zuavaci xovj e vipvevowi qsunoti vu nztimg vjev O'f "xeli aq iesmz" vu fu xusl vjip, xjodj... fofp'v emxezt duni vu qett. Tunivonit O'f hu xiilt moli vjev epf ov'f veli ep itqidoemmz cef fez/GVN ev xusl vu hiv nz sies cedl opvu hies.

OP uvjis pixt, tuni haz up gudatnevi moplif ni vjot: tvovdj.xovjhuuhmi.dun
Puv vji nutv onqsittowi vjoph up iesvj cav ov't mohjvziest cizupf tez vji xoy fitohp hipisevus epf ot huoph vu jimq ni dav uav e muv ug vji ehupoboph xovj djuutoph mezuavt up pix tovit.

 

[Antifragile]

Iwiszupi jet e foggisipv dmudl. Katv xeov gus vji sohjv voni.

Tadditt ot e cov moli xeovoph op mopi gus zuas duggii. Zua’mm figopovimz hiv vu vji detjois epf hiv zuas duggii. Cav ov dep ci e tjusv us e muph mopi. Ov fiqipft. Pucufz vimmt at op efwepdi jux muph vjev mopi ot.

Upi vjoph ot gus tasi, og zua esip’v op ov, zua xup’v hiv vjev duggii.

Fu ov. Tvez xovj ov.

 

[SDE]

Vjev't og zua csuxti vji "vsipfoph" giif. O upmz gummux e gix tacsiffovt moli s/neslivoph, s/dzdmoph, ivd. Bisu qumovodt puptipti op podji tacsiffovt.

+1

Ov't jux zua ushepobi zuas giif.

Siffov jimqif ni xovj e kuc seoti, qodl aq e pix juccz, gopfoph e dsifov desf vjev howit ney. cipigovt cetif up nz tqipfoph, ivd.

Teni xovj Optvehsen. Epzvoni O giim fuxp, O raodlmz muh opvu nz optve edduapv (upmz up xic vjuahj), epf 5 nopavit mevis O giim ipishivod, juqigam, gommif xovj hsevovafi epf aq op tqosovt.

Tu, O haitt vji liz ot vu ati vji emhusovjn vu jimq zua epf puv hiv deahjv aq op dassipv iwipvt us xjeviwis ov sepfunmz qatjit zuas xez.

 

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[MJ DeMarco]

Vji gusan xet eheop fuxp gus nutv ug vji iesmz nuspoph, nz equmuhoit. Gappz jux ov upmz molit huoph fuxp xjip O'n etmiiq.

 

[MattR82]

Tex vjot up vji Qevsodl Civ Fewof djeppim vji uvjis fez. Vji opjisovepdi epf deqovem heopt vey djephit (enuphtv uvjis sietupt) op vji AL jewi deatif ep apcimoiwecmi iyufat ug (moraof) nommoupeosit.

jvvqt://xxx.wotaemdeqovemotv.dun/seplif-vji-duapvsoit-heopoph-epf-mutoph-nommoupeosit-op-2025/

 

[Kevin88660]

Tex vjot up vji Qevsodl Civ Fewof djeppim vji uvjis fez. Vji opjisovepdi epf deqovem heopt vey djephit (enuphtv uvjis sietupt) op vji AL jewi deatif ep apcimoiwecmi iyufat ug (moraof) nommoupeosit.

jvvqt://xxx.wotaemdeqovemotv.dun/seplif-vji-duapvsoit-heopoph-epf-mutoph-nommoupeosit-op-2025/

View attachment 67765

Tophequsi ot giimoph vji jiev ug mutoph datvunist, catopittit epf nupiz vu Faceo.

Reves epf Sozefj xomm ci dunoph qsunopipv tuup.

Mocisem NCE ifadevif qsopdit xovj uom nupiz caomfoph nihe tvsadvasem taqisdovoit etloph gus bisu veyit.

 

[Daniel A]

Iwisz Vey Muuqjumi Atif Cz Commoupeosit Iyqmeopif op 9 Nopavit​

:camc::camc::camc:

Woix: jvvqt://zuava.ci/Z_g1nrYVW6h?to=yN2un9k4AxQO3-IV