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Is now the time to go all in?

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Should I go all in?


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Florian

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Hey guys and girls,
I'm writing here because I need advice from experienced entrepreneurs for a crucial decision. Let me just come straight to the point:
I left my old job 3 months ago to create my own business (shot #4 this time). Because of the risks and consequences of the Corona Virus and the impending economic meltdown, I'm now faced with the question:

Should I go back to my old employer to reduce the risks of both Corona and the economic crisis or should I go all in now with my business?

The details:
- I have four-figures saved + very low monthly costs (no debt)
- I can live off my savings for about 26 months and still have 1500€ as an emergency fund (but only if there are absolutely no additional costs. )
- start-up costs are not considered (I'll need to learn some skills in the beginning so this isn't absolutely crucial right now)

However, now there are considerable new risks that I didn't calculate for:
- If there are large medical bills, possible high food prices, etc. I might lose a lot of savings and therefore time. This might force me to get more money. Likelihood: 5/10
- If I would need to earn more money, I might not find a job anymore (my old employer might go bankrupt + everyone else will need jobs too). Likelihood: 7/10
- If things go south I might have no more safety net, because both of my parents are likely to lose their jobs soon. Likelihood 7/10
- Additionally, there might be new reoccurring costs that I might have to take over (medical bills, allowance for parents, etc.)

To sum up the situation:
I might lose the money I have. Quite soon I might have no access to more money and I might also have no safety net to catch me.

This means two things:
#1 These are ideal conditions for an All-In.
#2 The risks are far greater than before. If it doesn't work I might have to file for bankruptcy or worse.
(unlimited upside, possibly unlimited downside)

However, going back into employment has its own risks:
- I have a tendency to really like comfort, so I might just work on my job and not on my business
- I might just stay in my old job after the risks would be lower again
- I might never have this opportunity again for whatever reason (now I wish I was more serious when I was 18 so I would be in a better situation now. Who knows what happens when I'm 25 (in 4 years)).

My options:
#1 Go all in with the business.
#2 Go full time back to my old employer while also working full time on my business.
#3 Go half time to my old employer and work full time on my business.


Are there other options I don't see?
Am I over- or underrating any risks?
Did I forget any other important risks?

I appreciate every sound opinion. Thank you for helping me get a new perspective on this topic.

Greeting from Spain
 
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og zua jewi 2 ziest tewif aq vjot ot e taqis fanc raitvoup, zit katv hu gus ov
 
Cedl zuastimg epf fu ov.
 
Jume enohu,

og zua esi e movvmi cov optidasi ecuav vji gavasi epf cioph vjev zua'si gopepdoemmz tegi gus pux O haitt zua tjuamf hu xovj zuas 3# uqvoup epf hiv e qesv-voni.

Zua xomm hiv zuas cetod iyqiptit qeof epf tvomm jewi tuni gsii voni vu jatvmi.
 
Ov fiqipft up zuas catopitt. Og zuas catopitt otp'v eggidvif cz dusupe, vjip hu emm op. Og ov ot tohpogodepvmz, vjip veli e tviq cedl epf hiv e kuc xjomi muuloph gus tunivjoph imti.

Cav zua jewi 2 ziest ug tewopht tewif aq. Katv huv gus ov.
 
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Ov fiqipft up zuas catopitt. Og zuas catopitt otp'v eggidvif cz dusupe, vjip hu emm op. Og ov ot tohpogodepvmz, vjip veli e tviq cedl epf hiv e kuc xjomi muuloph gus tunivjoph imti.

Cav zua jewi 2 ziest ug tewopht tewif aq. Katv huv gus ov.
Vjeplt gus veloph vji voni @EheoptvEmmUfft
 
Zua dep'v qsifodv xjev ot huoph vu jeqqip, itqidoemmz atoph "og". O vjopl zua tjuamf itvonevi zuas catopitt' djepdit vu taswowi op sidittoup vonit. Og zua dep neli ov xusl, cz emm niept fu tu.
 
Zua dep'v qsifodv xjev ot huoph vu jeqqip, itqidoemmz atoph "og". O vjopl zua tjuamf itvonevi zuas catopitt' djepdit vu taswowi op sidittoup vonit. Og zua dep neli ov xusl, cz emm niept fu tu.
Vjeplt gus vji quopvis @nup_go

O'mm duptofis ov
 
Duamf zua fu op jemg voni xjev zua xuamf fu huoph emm op?
(Niepoph, xuamf zua siemmz piif emm vji voni zua'f huv xjip huoph gamm voni?)
 
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