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How About A Lil Coffee? Game #2

MJ DeMarco

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Fed cut rates again ... 3/4% which should mean the dollar will slide further .... or, was the rate cut already priced in ... ahhhh the joys of currency speculation.
 

zero1333

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MJ DeMarco

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Contest Closed ... however, there's a hook I've yet to announce....

BTW, the dollar has sank since this started ... 1.4389 is the current price. Someone missed an opportunity to pick something high!
 

MJ DeMarco

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Ok so we have 33 total entries. (Someone missed out ... the exchange rate went as high as 1.44 today and would have yielded some clues to further direction!)

However there is a hook.

I'm changing the rules.


Each number, 1-33, has a random number assigned to it, 1-10. I'll post the numbers next week so everyone can see theirs.

That number will be reduced from your spread.

Spread is the absolute value from the difference between your guess and the closing price, minus the random number.


(FXE - Your Guess - Random Number) = Your Spread.​

Lowest Spread wins.

Examples: FXE closes at 145.00
Guess: 144.50 ~ Random #: 4 = Spread: 46
Guess: 144.99 ~ Random #: 7 = Spread: 6
Guess: 145.50 ~ Random #: 8 = Spread: 42
The random number can work for you, or against you.

Plus for those of you who thought they were being smart by overbidding their competitors by 1 tick, are not so safe - the random number eliminates that advantage.



So why change the rules?

It is a lesson in the Fastlane ... You can drive it, or be a passenger in it.

1) It sucks when I change the rules after you've followed all the rules and played fairly, using your brain, applying your talents, yes, it sucks....

but it also sucks when ...

1) Your franchise company changes the Franchise agreement and the royalties you pay.
2) Your MLM company changes its compensation plan causing your to lose hard earned commissions
3) Your company lays you off
4) Google changes its algorithm and your revenue declines by 90%
5) Your affiliate marketing company expels you for, well, you have no clue.

It sucks when the rules are changed and you couldn't do anything about it.

Don't follow the rules, make the rules.
 
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MJ DeMarco

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Woops, forgot to open the thread!
 

LightHouse

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Plus for those of you who thought they were being smart by overbidding their competitors by 1 tick, are not so safe - the random number eliminates that advantage.


Who did that?....... :D

Good lessons!
 

bflbob

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Contest Closed ... however, there's a hook I've yet to announce....

BTW, the dollar has sank since this started ... 1.4389 is the current price. Someone missed an opportunity to pick something high!


Isn't 148.21 high??
 
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TOLDUSO

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(FXE - Your Guess - Random Number) = Your Spread.
Lowest Spread wins.
Examples: FXE closes at 145.00
Guess: 144.50 ~ Random #: 4 = Spread: 46
Guess: 144.99 ~ Random #: 7 = Spread: 6
Guess: 145.50 ~ Random #: 8 = Spread: 42

The random number can work for you, or against you.

Plus for those of you who thought they were being smart by overbidding their competitors by 1 tick, are not so safe - the random number eliminates that advantage.

:notworthy:

Borat_Great_Success.jpg
 

MJ DeMarco

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The dollar has bounced back in the last 2 days ... back in the high 130's!
 

MJ DeMarco

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RANDOM NUMBER ASSIGNMENTS

PHP:
148.21	4	bflbob
142.81	5	nick
142.33	3	zero1333
142.23	4	I85
142.22	9	tolduso
141.92	4	NerdSmasher
140.98	7	kidgas
139.89	1	andviv
139.51	6	cactuswren
139.11	3	bflash98
138.5	1	YoungOne
137.78	1	luke
137.77	2	yves
137.38	7	rawr
136.48	2	BeingChewsie
136.4	8	cventures
136	1	fanocks
135.89	10	lighthouse
135.88	6	PhxMJ
135.25	9	laughedat
134.88	8	KurtYordy
134.5	4	Jlaw
133.98	6	Jscott
133.7	10	djs13
133.31	7	Charmed Angel
131.99	5	Jonleehacker
131.5	9	czach
131.47	10	Yankees338
129.5	5	BioPhase
129.44	3	MrPink
128.15	8	rzach
127.52	2	forestl
126.5	3	jill
125	2	marktech101
 
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MJ DeMarco

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My odds assessment ...

75% odds someone wins from this group:

nick
zero1333
I85
tolduso
NerdSmasher
kidgas
andviv
cactuswren
bflash98
YoungOne
luke
yves
 

MJ DeMarco

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Looks like it's coming down to the wire between

139.89 1 andviv
139.51 6 cactuswren
 

MJ DeMarco

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And we have a winner ....

FXE closed: 139.69
 
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andviv

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great, I can predict the FXE fairly accurately...
so, now what the heck is the FXE and what does the number mean?

I should open a hedge fund that deals with FXE ;)
 

MJ DeMarco

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Congratulations CactusWren! ... please PM me your email address.


1st) CactusWren

|139.69 - 139.51| - 6 = 12

2nd) Andviv

|139.69 - 139.89| - 1 = 19
 

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