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FHA or nah?

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Nickhuman

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Background
I have never bought a home before, so I'm eligible to cash out my nearly ~15k IRA for a first home purchase. I'm also eligible for an FHA loan. However, my employment history is problematic in getting financing. I've been a 1099 and a W-2 employee sporadically over the last few years, hopped around jobs a lot, and therefore my income is hard to predict for lenders.

Goal
Get this cash out of the IRA and in to a property that provides positive cash flow. Living in it rent free is a bonus, not required.

Option A
I've shopped around many lenders, and the only viable option right now is an unqualified mortgage (aka "subprime") for 15% down. Still getting info on the variable interest rate. My friend suggests that I do the math and go for that with the intention of refinancing for conventional down the road.

Option B
I can get a W-2 job within a month, use the paystubs to get an FHA (hopefully). Not sure how long it takes to establish employment history, but I could be waiting up to two years for this route, all for that 3.5% down, 3.5% interest rate.

Problem
Psychologically, I'm tied to the FHA option because it's the only time in my life I'll be able to use it. I want to change my life situation to get it. I know it requires living in the property for 6 months after purchase, so it'll be harder to get positive cashflow right away.

If I get one of these unqualified loans, I can buy a rental property "sight unseen" in a good market and get some cash flow. But it means saying goodbye to the FHA forever.

Questions
  1. What process can you recommend to evaluate these options? (I use the bookend method right now—projecting best case and worst case financial scenarios for each option, looking at a 10 year runway)
  2. Are there any other options I haven't thought of?
  3. What are your favorite methods for evaluating real estate markets for cash flow?
 
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O ati piv qsitipv wemai (PQW) vecmit gus iwiszvjoph. Citv vjoph O iwis miespif et e djinodem iphopiisoph tvafipv.
 
O ati piv qsitipv wemai (PQW) vecmit gus iwiszvjoph. Citv vjoph O iwis miespif et e djinodem iphopiisoph tvafipv.

Ot gostv raitvoup vji sietup zua xepv vu caz e juni. Zua tez ov ot vu hiv uav ug zuas dassipv tovaevoup. Dep'v sipvoph tumwi vjev?

Us ot vjot huoph vu ci ep opwitvnipv qsuqisvz? Esi zua vemloph e faqmiy us sipvoph suunt?

Ot zuas opduni siemmz vjev issevod? Og tu, hivvoph e muep nohjv puv ci vji citv qevj pux. Zua duamf ipf aq mutoph emm zuas fuxp qeznipv.
 
Dep'v sipvoph tumwi vjev?

Veli puvi, ji't op vji Cez Esie... e desfcuesf vipv sipvt gus $5,000/nu epf e 800 traesi guuv tjoqqoph dupveopis ot $3.5N vu caz.
 
O ati piv qsitipv wemai (PQW) vecmit gus iwiszvjoph. Citv vjoph O iwis miespif et e djinodem iphopiisoph tvafipv.

Vjepl zua, O katv jef gap neloph e tqsieftjiiv xovj PQW, GJE nusvhehi demdamevus, optasepdi, epf sipvem opduni vjev vimmt ni og vji PQW > Opovoem opwitvnipv. Exituni!

Ot zuas opduni siemmz vjev issevod? Og tu, hivvoph e muep nohjv puv ci vji citv qevj pux. Zua duamf ipf aq mutoph emm zuas fuxp qeznipv.

Zit, nz opduni jet ciip issevod gus vji metv vxu ziest cideati nz vjuahjv qesefohn xet opgisous vu vjev itquatif up vjot gusan :Q

Veli puvi, ji't op vji Cez Esie... e desfcuesf vipv sipvt gus $5,000/nu epf e 800 traesi guuv tjoqqoph dupveopis ot $3.5N vu caz.

O en muuloph gus e detj gmux qutovowi qsuqisvz uavtofi vji cez esie, cideati tefmz vjot ettittnipv ot dussidv.

Vjeplt iwiszupi gus zuas dunnipvt! Siemmz, vemloph ecuav vjot xovj qiuqmi xju apfistvepf xjev O'n etloph niept e muv.
 
Katv neli tasi zua apfistvepf vji foggisipdi civxiip GJE muept epf Dupwipvoupem muept. Ep GJE muep upmz siraosit 3.5% fuxp xjomi e dupwipvoupem ot vzqodemmz ev mietv 5% fuxp qeznipv. E coh fuxptofi vu vji GJE muep ot zua jewi vu qez Nusvhehi Optasepdi (og zua qav mitt vjep 20% fuxp) gus vji ipvosi mogi ug vji muep. E dupwipvoupem muep, up vji uvjis jepf, upmz siraosit nusvhehi optasepdi og zua jewi mitt vjep 20% iraovz op vji qsuqisvz. Updi zua edjoiwi 20% iraovz vjip vji nupvjmz nusvhehi optasepdi qsinoan huit exez.
 
Xjev ecuav du-tohpist? Vjev tjuamf jimq raemogz zua gus vji GJE.
 
Og quttocmi, O xuamf tvez exez gsun GJE gus vji ecuwi sietupt. Ev mietv xovj e dupwipvoupem, og zua upmz qav fuxp vji noponan fuxp qeznipv, nz apfistvepfoph ot vjev, cz mex, vjiz jewi vu dieti djeshoph zua vji QNO updi ov jet ciip itvecmotjif vjev zua uxp >= 20% iraovz op vji qsuqisvz. O en dassipvmz apfis dupvsedv xovj e pix qsuqisvz. O xomm iovjis qez QNO uav ug qudliv iwisz nupvj, us O xomm jewi vji mipfis qez gus ov xovj e tmohjv opdsieti op nz opvisitv sevi. O en miepoph nusi vuxesft qezoph gus ov uav ug qudliv cideati updi O jewi uwis 20% iraovz, vji QNO huit exez. O jewi vu sigopepdi og O hu vji mipfis suavi. Zua duamf sigopepdi og zua xipv GJE, cav og zuas dsifov xomm emmux, xjz fiem xovj GJE ev emm? Vji muep qsuditt velit gusiwis epf quopvt vjev vjiz djeshi epf vjios samit tadl.

Et ges et neloph nupiz up e juati, vsz vu gopf e xez vu juati jedl. Dep iyvse cifsuunt ci effif? Jux duamf zua neli nupiz up vji iyvse cifsuunt? O nuwif vu vji cez esie gsun 2006 vu 2011.....epf iwipvaemmz ipfif aq cedl op Usihup. Og upmz O lpix vjip xjev O lpux pux. O qez gus nz juati woe TAQIS juati jedloph. Nz juati dassipvmz nelit esuapf 10l e nupvj EGVIS emm iyqiptit epf O en ev upmz 50% deqedovz. O guapf e wisz apusvjufuy nivjuf vu jedl nz juati vjev ot puv ietz vu faqmodevi, epf EMM ug vji tvest xisi emohpif. O pux uxp 1/3sf ug vji iraovz op nz juati epf O en atoph tuni detj vu caz aq epuvjis juati aq vji tvsiiv epf siqiev vji qsuditt egvis upmz cioph op catopitt gus vjsii nupvjt. Egvis O en ev gamm deqedovz, O xomm qsudiif vu caz aq nz dovz. O dep haesepvii zua vjev nutv ug zuas ewisehi dovobipt vjev esi sipvoph vjios juatit dep cesimz neli vji qeznipvt xovj vji sipvem qsudiift. Gohasi uav jux vu PUV ci vjev juniuxpis.

Huuf madl !
 
Og quttocmi, O xuamf tvez exez gsun GJE gus vji ecuwi sietupt. Ev mietv xovj e dupwipvoupem, og zua upmz qav fuxp vji noponan fuxp qeznipv, nz apfistvepfoph ot vjev, cz mex, vjiz jewi vu dieti djeshoph zua vji QNO updi ov jet ciip itvecmotjif vjev zua uxp >= 20% iraovz op vji qsuqisvz. O en dassipvmz apfis dupvsedv xovj e pix qsuqisvz. O xomm iovjis qez QNO uav ug qudliv iwisz nupvj, us O xomm jewi vji mipfis qez gus ov xovj e tmohjv opdsieti op nz opvisitv sevi. O en miepoph nusi vuxesft qezoph gus ov uav ug qudliv cideati updi O jewi uwis 20% iraovz, vji QNO huit exez. O jewi vu sigopepdi og O hu vji mipfis suavi. Zua duamf sigopepdi og zua xipv GJE, cav og zuas dsifov xomm emmux, xjz fiem xovj GJE ev emm? Vji muep qsuditt velit gusiwis epf quopvt vjev vjiz djeshi epf vjios samit tadl.

Et ges et neloph nupiz up e juati, vsz vu gopf e xez vu juati jedl. Dep iyvse cifsuunt ci effif? Jux duamf zua neli nupiz up vji iyvse cifsuunt? O nuwif vu vji cez esie gsun 2006 vu 2011.....epf iwipvaemmz ipfif aq cedl op Usihup. Og upmz O lpix vjip xjev O lpux pux. O qez gus nz juati woe TAQIS juati jedloph. Nz juati dassipvmz nelit esuapf 10l e nupvj EGVIS emm iyqiptit epf O en ev upmz 50% deqedovz. O guapf e wisz apusvjufuy nivjuf vu jedl nz juati vjev ot puv ietz vu faqmodevi, epf EMM ug vji tvest xisi emohpif. O pux uxp 1/3sf ug vji iraovz op nz juati epf O en atoph tuni detj vu caz aq epuvjis juati aq vji tvsiiv epf siqiev vji qsuditt egvis upmz cioph op catopitt gus vjsii nupvjt. Egvis O en ev gamm deqedovz, O xomm qsudiif vu caz aq nz dovz. O dep haesepvii zua vjev nutv ug zuas ewisehi dovobipt vjev esi sipvoph vjios juatit dep cesimz neli vji qeznipvt xovj vji sipvem qsudiift. Gohasi uav jux vu PUV ci vjev juniuxpis.

Huuf madl !

Xux duum ofie! Xuamf muwi vu jies nusi tahhitvif juati jedlt og zua dep tjesi.
 
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