Great thread @
SteveO! For some reason at a young age I too fell in love with
real estate and I think I always will embrace it. It took me a while to develop the skills to manage it well because you certainly wear many hats in this business.
I've come to the conclusion that if the numbers don't hit me over the head as a sure thing, I don't even bother with it. It doesn't take complicated math. It's simple. Max income, minimize expenses - and then leave room for error. If it still makes sense then you probably have something there, but you need to know your market.
As far as cap rates go, I wanted to throw my 2
cents in: Among other multis and singles, one example I own is a sfh in a "rough" area and the tenant is on housing assistance, but it throws off 20% CoC. The gov't pays over 90% and it hits my mailbox like clockwork. She actually pays her part early too. It's not a total war zone or anything but it's not exactly suburbia lol. It's definitely profitable and that's all I care about.
I just locked up another deal like it and am going to give the deposit tomorrow. Lower income areas can be great for cashflow, but that's about it. Don't expect appreciation, and that's why you need to buy below market for sure. Usually the rents are similar to nicer areas but the cost of the house is much less. It also takes a certain street-sense to pull it off I guess, but the profit is really there.
Another sfh we have is right here in the town we live in, which is middle class and blue collar mostly. That house throws off over 15% as well, but we bought that one below market as a short sale and it fortunately worked out well. Great tenant and always pays early, keeps the place clean etc.
Point is: if someone looks for good cash on cash, it's out there. If I can do it in NJ, I think anybody can. The prop taxes here are the worst in the whole country.
I look forward to bumping up to bigger buildings like you're doing though because that's where the scale and magnitude start to really meet up.
Have you found it difficult dealing with commercial lending guidelines? On one hand it seems like it could be easier because they look more at the building than the individual, but I've never dealt with one.