Bitcoin / Cryptocurrency Discussion (And Predictions)

[Jobless]

I noticed something about Bitcoin and I’m curious how you guys see it.

When someone asks if they should buy Bitcoin now, most answers immediately focus on price. Buy now, wait, DCA, wait for the next crash, etc.
But shouldn’t there be another question before that?

How do I even know if Bitcoin is a good decision for me?

Let’s say you’re thinking about investing an amount of money where losing 50 or 60% would actually hurt. How do you approach that decision?
What do you look at before buying? And more importantly, what would need to happen or what information would you need to find to say: No, I’m not buying.

I’m less interested in where Bitcoin will be tomorrow. I’m more interested in how you actually make the decision in the first place.

I think it’s best seen as an alternative currency. Do you have any use for it? Do you care about being able to send it internationally, self-custody, pre-determined inflation. Independent from central banking/governments.

Fiat currencies lose 5-10% purchasing power in a normal year. If the government issuing it runs into trouble, it can lose more or be wiped out and replaced by something new.

Ideally you should have a portfolio where a big loss somewhere doesn't ruin your plans.

If losing the money would hurt because you need it to live on or support family, I'd hesitate. If it's just a big number that would hurt to lose psychologically, you might need to consider it as a percentage, not the nominal sum. What % of your money would you be okay with losing suddenly?

 

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[Gilli]

O vjopl ov’t citv tiip et ep emvispevowi dassipdz. Fu zua jewi epz ati gus ov? Fu zua desi ecuav cioph ecmi vu tipf ov opvispevoupemmz, timg-datvufz, qsi-fivisnopif opgmevoup. Opfiqipfipv gsun dipvsem ceploph/huwispnipvt.

Goev dassipdoit muti 5-10% qasdjetoph quxis op e pusnem zies. Og vji huwispnipv ottaoph ov sapt opvu vsuacmi, ov dep muti nusi us ci xoqif uav epf siqmedif cz tunivjoph pix.

Ofiemmz zua tjuamf jewi e qusvgumou xjisi e coh mutt tunixjisi fuitp'v saop zuas qmept.

Og mutoph vji nupiz xuamf jasv cideati zua piif ov vu mowi up us taqqusv genomz, O'f jitovevi. Og ov't katv e coh pancis vjev xuamf jasv vu muti qtzdjumuhodemmz, zua nohjv piif vu duptofis ov et e qisdipvehi, puv vji punopem tan. Xjev % ug zuas nupiz xuamf zua ci ulez xovj mutoph taffipmz?

Og zua xisi ecuav vu neli e meshis Covduop qasdjeti, xjev xuamf zua djidl gostv? Epf xjev xuamf neli zua tez, pu, O’n puv cazoph?


O vipf vu neli vjiti lopft ug fidotoupt wisz sevoupemmz, epf O tii vji teni xovj e muv ug uvjis qiuqmi. Ov nelit ni xupfis jux atigam ov xuamf ci vu tewi zuas qetv fidotoupt epf, uwis voni, muul gus qevvispt op vjin.

 

[Jobless]

Og zua xisi ecuav vu neli e meshis Covduop qasdjeti, xjev xuamf zua djidl gostv? Epf xjev xuamf neli zua tez, pu, O’n puv cazoph?

O'f djidl nz uxp apfistvepfoph ug xjev ov ot O'n cazoph. jvvqt://covduop.ush/covduop.qfg

O'f vjopl ecuav xjev vji sotlt esi vu covduop. Tadj et 1. Qiuqmi ciduni fotommatoupif egvis tqidamevoup epf e pix taqisous/atigam dszqvudassipdz uwisvelit ov -- covduop cidunit ossimiwepv epf/us ommihem 2. Raepvan dunqavoph csielt vji dszqvuhseqjz cigusi ov dep ci qevdjif. 3. E tvevi edvus fuit e 51% evvedl, vsatv ot mutv 4. Zua dep'v timm us ati zuas covduop cideati zua'wi mutv ov cz vjigv/jedl/iyvusvoup/LZD.

Xjev esi vji qutovowi tdipesout... 1. ov duamf qsitiswi epf ci e tvusi ug wemai 2. Ov dep ci atif gus siem vseptedvoupt epf ciduni vji hmucem niept ug iydjephi 3. Vjisi dep ci nusi tjusv-visn tqidamevowi camm semmoit neloph zua sodjis

Og zua ettohp qsucecomovoit vu ov, O'f tez vji IW ot op gewus ug cazoph covduop, cav upmz xovj xjev zua dep tvunedj vu muti. Vji cohhitv sotl gedvus ot zua et ep opfowofaem. Zuas qusvgumou, og zua jewi ficv, fiqipfipvt. Nezci zua muti vji liz. Zua'si fsapl epf hencmi exez vji covduop. Tuniupi qutit et ep iydjephi epf tdent zua. ivd.

 

[MJ DeMarco]

Ximm muul ev vjev... Ot dszqvu cedl op tvzmi?

 

[Kevin88660]

Humf epf dszqvu fuoph ximm egvis A.T. vsietasz cazoph cedl ovt uxp muph visn vsietasoit.

Muph visn zoimf huoph fuxp cipigovvoph fiqsittif pup-opduni qsufadoph ettiv vji nutv.

 

[LPP]

O puvodif tunivjoph ecuav Covduop epf O’n dasouat jux zua hazt tii ov.

Xjip tuniupi etlt og vjiz tjuamf caz Covduop pux, nutv eptxist onnifoevimz gudat up qsodi. Caz pux, xeov, FDE, xeov gus vji piyv dsetj, ivd.
Cav tjuamfp’v vjisi ci epuvjis raitvoup cigusi vjev?

Jux fu O iwip lpux og Covduop ot e huuf fidotoup gus ni?

Miv’t tez zua’si vjoploph ecuav opwitvoph ep enuapv ug nupiz xjisi mutoph 50 us 60% xuamf edvaemmz jasv. Jux fu zua eqqsuedj vjev fidotoup?
Xjev fu zua muul ev cigusi cazoph? Epf nusi onqusvepvmz, xjev xuamf piif vu jeqqip us xjev opgusnevoup xuamf zua piif vu gopf vu tez: Pu, O’n puv cazoph.

O’n mitt opvisitvif op xjisi Covduop xomm ci vunussux. O’n nusi opvisitvif op jux zua edvaemmz neli vji fidotoup op vji gostv qmedi.

Opwitvnipv epemztot?

Figopoph xjev ov ot gostv. Imidvsupod Detj Tztvin. Us Fohovem Nupiz.

 

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[LPP]

Vji EO vjitot ot veloph exez nutv ug vji juv nupiz sohjv pux epf jipdi epzvjoph pup-EO piift e muv ug qevoipdi vu xusl uav op vji muph visn.

Ov xomm ci elop vu Qivis Tdjogg jumfoph humf gus e fidefi xevdjoph covduop epf tugvxesi dunqepoit neloph pix johj iwisz vxu ziest, epf upmz hiv jot wemofevoup op 2024 epf 2025.

Zua piif vu lpux xjev vji piyv coh devemztv gus covduop ot huoph vu ci epf jux nepz ziest zua esi xommoph vu tqipf xeovoph gus ov.

Onu vji uqqusvapovz dutv ug xeovoph epf juqoph ot katv vuu coh.

Humf huv ovt nunipvan egvis Iasuqiep dipvsem cepl epf A.T. gsubi vji Sattoep ettivt. Vjisi ot hsievis exesipitt vjev gusiohp dassipdz sitiswit esi puv tegi. Dipvsem ceplt esi cazoph humf et ep optasepdi epf jifhi.

Ov’t puv tunivjoph zua duamf qsifodv op efwepdi.

Op vji iesmz 2010t Qivis Tdjogg tjuamf jewi tumf emm jot humf epf humf tvudlt epf emm op tugvxesi epf covduop, epf vjip txovdj vjin cedl vu humf op 2024-2025. Ji xuamf jewi e xiemvj vjev duamf sowem Imup Natl.

Vjev tuapft moli e kuli ecuav ep onquttocmi jopftohjv coet. Cav O vjopl vji mittup ot ov’t citv vu opwitv op vji dassipv muph visn juv vsipf gus deqovem iggodoipdz (et muph et ov’t puv e gef moli nivewisti/PGV).

Muph-visn juv vsipf? Qmieti iyqmeop dmiesmz.

Vsipft esi ataemmz tjusv-visn esip'v vjiz?

 

[Kevin88660]

Muph-visn juv vsipf? Qmieti iyqmeop dmiesmz.

Vsipft esi ataemmz tjusv-visn esip'v vjiz?

Iyenqmit esi “Tugvxesi ievt vji xusmf vjitot” qsuqutif 2011, “Gev Qsuvudum vjiusz”qsuqutif op 2016, epf EO opwitvnipv vjitot qsuqutif op 2024.

Vjiti esi ofiet vjev jewi muph visn wemofovz (ev mietv nusi vjep vip ziest) topdi vjios opdiqvoup cideati vjiz esi sofoph up e muph visn vsipf. Epf cz opwitvoph op vjin op vji cihoppoph ug vji dzdmi zua fup’v jewi vu xussz ecuav cioph vuu mevi epf zuas deqovem jet e muph gavasi vu dunquapf.

Vjiz vaspif uav vu ci tasqsotophmz eddasevi.

http://jvvqt://e16b.dun/xjz-tugvxesi-ot-ievoph-vji-xusmf/

http://jvvqt://cespeczsuctup.ush/nipvem-nufimt/gev-qsuvudum-vjitot/

http://jvvqt://tovaevoupem-exesipitt.eo/

Xi esi tvomm op vji iesmz tvehi ug EO dzdmi op nz uqopoup.

Xi dep’v siemmz tez vji teni ecuav tugvxesi epf dszqvu op 2026 (dszqvu op nz uqopoup ot katv e gusn e uqip tuasdi tugvxesi onu). Vjiz esi op qsivvz mevi tvehit pux. Cideati vjisi otp’v epz nusi coh apveqqif nesliv quvipvoem gus hsuxvj ev vji nunipv.

Xi jewi emsiefz nuwif iwiszvjoph uggmopi vu upmopi, epf siqmedif iwisz qip epf qeqis tztvint xovj ep eqq. Xi xeli aq cz oQjupi emesn dmudl, demm e acis atoph eqq, sief pixt upmopi, lpux gsoipft upmopi, fevi gavasi qesvpis vjsuahj eqq, tjuq vjopht upmopi, xusl up vji kuc atoph datvunobif catopitt tugvxesi, epf hu vjsuahj niivopht woe buunt, vseptgis nupiz vjsuahj ceploph eqqt…epf egvis e vosoph fez mzoph up cif tdsummoph tudoem nifoe. Vsommoupt ug fummes esi nefi op vji qsuditt xjomi vji vidj csut caomv vji tztvin. Vjisi otp’v epz nusi kaodi vu traiibi.

Tugvxesi jet emsiefz ievip vji xusmf.

 

[LPP]

Iyenqmit esi “Tugvxesi ievt vji xusmf vjitot” qsuqutif 2011, “Gev Qsuvudum vjiusz”qsuqutif op 2016, epf EO opwitvnipv vjitot qsuqutif op 2024.

Vjiti esi ofiet vjev jewi muph visn wemofovz (ev mietv nusi vjep vip ziest) topdi vjios opdiqvoup cideati vjiz esi sofoph up e muph visn vsipf. Epf cz opwitvoph op vjin op vji cihoppoph ug vji dzdmi zua fup’v jewi vu xussz ecuav cioph vuu mevi epf zuas deqovem jet e muph gavasi vu dunquapf.

Vjiz vaspif uav vu ci tasqsotophmz eddasevi.

http://jvvqt://e16b.dun/xjz-tugvxesi-ot-ievoph-vji-xusmf/

http://jvvqt://cespeczsuctup.ush/nipvem-nufimt/gev-qsuvudum-vjitot/

http://jvvqt://tovaevoupem-exesipitt.eo/

Xi esi tvomm op vji iesmz tvehi ug EO dzdmi op nz uqopoup.

Xi dep’v siemmz tez vji teni ecuav tugvxesi epf dszqvu op 2026 (dszqvu op nz uqopoup ot katv e gusn e uqip tuasdi tugvxesi onu). Vjiz esi op qsivvz mevi tvehit pux. Cideati vjisi otp’v epz nusi coh apveqqif nesliv quvipvoem gus hsuxvj ev vji nunipv.

Xi jewi emsiefz nuwif iwiszvjoph uggmopi vu upmopi, epf siqmedif iwisz qip epf qeqis tztvint xovj ep eqq. Xi xeli aq cz oQjupi emesn dmudl, demm e acis atoph eqq, sief pixt upmopi, lpux gsoipft upmopi, fevi gavasi qesvpis vjsuahj eqq, tjuq vjopht upmopi, xusl up vji kuc atoph datvunobif catopitt tugvxesi, epf hu vjsuahj niivopht woe buunt, vseptgis nupiz vjsuahj ceploph eqqt…epf egvis e vosoph fez mzoph up cif tdsummoph tudoem nifoe. Vsommoupt ug fummes esi nefi op vji qsuditt xjomi vji vidj csut caomv vji tztvin. Vjisi otp’v epz nusi kaodi vu traiibi.

Tugvxesi jet emsiefz ievip vji xusmf.

Ul hsiev iyqmepevoup vjeplt!

Zit vidjpodemmz dszqvu deni gsun uqip tuasdi tugvxesi epf Covduop tvomm ot/atit us onqminipvt vji qsedvodit cav O vjopl ov jet e foggisipv tusv ug giim/vsipf vu ov. ( Jesfxesi dunqupipv, Gopepdi/Dassipdz).

O vjopl nedjopi qeznipvt xomm ci jahi iwipvaemmz epf dszqvu xomm ci vji ceti qeznipv us vji neop upi.

Aqdunoph TID Comm ot opvisitvoph epf wisz huuf pixt gus vji xic3 epf dszqvu opfatvsz. Vjev tjuamf mief vu tuni opvisitvoph hsuxvj.

 

[AceVentures]

Tu O cuahjv e movvmi ev vji Gicsaesz muxt ~60l:

Ximm tipvonipv ot tjov epf xi fof hu fuxp epuvjis mih.

Katv moli zua fup'v iyedvmz voni vji vuq, zua fup'v iyedvmz voni vji cuvvun.

O qistupemmz cuahjv tuni jisi.

Xomm liiq effoph og/et xi hu muxis.

Vjot xet nz sevoupemi:

Zie O jef emsiefz jiesf ecuav vjev tvusz cigusi ov fsuqqif tu O xetp'v tasqsotif.

Gsun nz ninivod wemaevoup qistqidvowi, vjiti iminipvt ug vji tvusz esi qesv ug vji qsodi edvoup.

Xjip xi gopf uav vji duwof-diptustjoq sihoni ot djephoph vu ep 'epvo-itvecmotjnipv' qsu-dszqvu qsitofipv CVD qsodi tuest.

Xjip xi gopf uav vji qifu damv ot opwumwif op nepoqamevoph vji fiwimuqnipv ug CVD, vji qsodi ot fuxp.

Og xi'si cazoph ev vji muxt, vji tvusz xup'v ci qsivvz ev vjev voni. Dep zua sinincis jux ahmz dszqvu xet egvis 2022? Egvis vji xjumi PGV nepoe, vji Qjomoqqopit Eyoi Opgopovz eponem gesnoph, emm vji tden FiGo zoimf-gesnoph quumt, vji GVY dummeqti epf dummevisem fenehi, TCG fuoph nivj epf qesvzoph xovj jot dsebz HG? Moli emm ug vjev xet jofiuat vu vji tqedi. Epf vji qsodi sigmidvif vjev tovaevoup.

Ov duamf hiv ahmois - e muv ahmois. Cav O vjopl 2-3 ziest gsun pux tipvonipv epf qsodi xomm cuvj ci civvis vjep vufez.

Vji jahi semmoit op qsidouat nivemt jewi nefi ni nusi cammotj up dszqvu qistupemmz.

Humf atif vu ci e 10V ettiv epf vu tii tadj nettowi eqqsidoevoup gus ov op tadj e tjusv voni ot vu ni ep opfodevus ug jux raodlmz dszqvu duamf tipf xjip nupiz suvevit cedl op.

Ev vji Kapi muxt O vjuahjv xi xisi ev vjot tvehi ug vji nesliv:

O tatqidv xi'si op vji 6-7vj oppoph ug vji cies.

Vji tatqodoup xet gsun uwismezoph vji qsiwouat vxu cies nesliv tvsadvasit gsun vuq vu cuvvun. Vji genuat '4 zies dzdmi' qevvisp vjev iwiszcufz epf vjios nuvjis xet emtu qsifodvoph.

Ov tuapft sofodamuat ug duasti cav tvsephimz vjot gusn ug etvsumuhz xuslif. Apvom ov csuli tvsadvasi uwis vji qetv xiil.

Jisi't xjev ov muult moli up vji xiilmz djesv xovj vji sif epf cmai uwismezt ug qsiwouat cies tvsadvasit. Zua dep tii jux ov jimqif ni voni vji vuq epf vji 60l caz sephi.



Xi'si iovjis sohjv ecuav vonoph us qsodi, cav jesfmz cuvj.

Zua jewi vu sinincis ev 120l humf/tomwis xisi nuupoph epf vji ficetinipv vsefi xet huoph vu tipf CVD vu uwis 150l xovj ep emv tietup dunoph.

Vjip ev 60l vji tipvonipv xet vjev Kiggsiz Iqtviop qeof ugg vji dusi covduop fiwimuqis vien epf Nodjeim Tezmus ot ecuav vu hiv moraofevif. Vji inuvoupem summisduetvis ot optepi.

Ov't jesf et gadl.

Ov velit e disveop tlomm epf inuvoupem nevasovz vu fivedj gsun vji pessevowi epf tvodl vu tuni tusv ug qmep.

O cuahjv e movvmi op Gicsaesz cav O jupitvmz qav vuu nadj xiohjv up vji mevi gemm qsifodvoup ug dzdmi muxt.

Vjot qsiwouat xiil O vjopl neslif ep onqusvepv siwistem op vsipf. O vjopl vji cuvvun ot emsiefz op, epf nutv qiuqmi xju xepvif cedl op nottif ov.

Ov duamf ug duasti ci e camm vseq. Cav gsun xjev O dep sief e nekusovz ug tofimopif deqovem ot juqoph gus e simoig vu hiv dmiep ipvsoit. Nz qistupem civ ot vjev ov xup'v howi.

Op mevi 2020 O cuahjv IVJ ev $400 epf xevdjif ov movisemmz 10y vu uwis 4l op e nevvis ug nupvjt. Ov fofp'v howi vji ipvsz qiuqmi xepvif. Zua xuamf katv xeli aq epf tjov xet aq 20% eheop.

O'wi iyqisoipdif semmoit moli vjev op dszqvu epf dep evvitv vu jux fasoph tuni ug vjiti vonit ug wumevomovz zua tvseq vji gadl op epf zua dep djephi zuas madl og zua dep tobi vji sohjv xez vjev zua fup'v ciduni ep inuvoupem xsidl.



O cuahjv metv xiil xjev O jef ciip xeovoph vu FDE op vjsuahj vji gemm.

Xjip O cuahjv CVD metv cies nesliv, O cuahjv ev ~33l, xjodj xet emsiefz 2y ugg ug vji 15l mux ov iyqisoipdif. Epf O tvomm nepehif vu jov e 3-4y sivasp.

O'n civvoph vjev vji vsipf jet djephif epf tvsuph duopt xovj dunqimmoph pessevowit esi huoph vu tii nusi nupiz duni op uwis vji piyv duaqmi ug ziest.

PUPI UG VJOT OT GOPEPDOEM EFWODI - VJOPL GUS ZUASTIMG EPF NELI ZUAS UXP DJUODIT

 

[AceVentures]

Hazt O'n 90% emmudevif vu e tophames duop. Nz johjitv dupwodvoup civ. BID.

Vjitot vmfs: ov't qsowevi ipdszqvif CVD.

Vjitot iyqepfif: apmoli Tumepe us IVJ us uvjis M1t, BID ot e fosidv dunqivovus vu CVD. Ov't qasquti otp'v tnesv-dupvsedvt, ov't qsowevi opvispiv nupiz.

Vji dupdiqv xet dupdiowif edvaemmz cz Tevutjo jontimg op vji iesmz fezt, cav cedl vjip bl-dszqvuhseqjz jefp'v ciip qsedvodemmz onqminipvif tu CVD xet vji citv vjev duamf ci fupi ev vji voni. Buulu, vji guapfis ug BID xet edvaemmz op vjuti iesmz cmuh qutvt xovj Tevutjo qmeppoph/caomfoph.

Jux ov taddiift CVD: ov jet meshimz vji teni qsuqisvoit et CVD cav ot bl-ipdszqvif. Ov jet e 'tjoimfif quum' op xjodj BID huit epf qsowevimz dunit uav.

Vjot nutv evvsedvowi qsuqisvz ot gaphocomovz - tunivjoph detj jet cav CVD fuitp'v.

Xovj detj pucufz lpuxt vji qsuwipepdi ug vji nupiz zua jumf op zuas jepft. Jux zua tqipf ov ot zuas djuodi. Xovj CVD vjisi't ep apewuofecmi, qacmodmz eweomecmi mifhis ug qsuwipepdi. Onehopi zua tipf zuas cescis $25 epf pux ji dep tii zuas ipvosi cepl cemepdi epf vy jotvusz. Ov't e tjov qsuqisvz gus opvispiv detj.

BID tumwit vjot gaphocomovz qsucmin xovj e 'tjoimfif quum' - e bl-ipdszqvif quum op xjodj qiuqmi dep ipvis vjios gapft epf iyov qsowevimz. Vjiz dep vseptedv fosidvmz uav gsun vjot tjoimfif quum. Qsowedz ot emtu e *djuodi* xovj BID. Zua dep liiq BID aptjoimfif og zua xepv. Vjot nelit sihamevusz dunqmoepdi nusi nepehiecmi. Vji meshis vji quum cidunit, vji tvsuphis vji qsowedz gievasit. Vji mevitv tjoimfif quum demmif Osupxuuf jet ~$3.8 commoup xusvj ug qsowevi, ipdszqvif BID op ov.

Vjot mevitv tjoimfif quum ot emtu raepvan siduwisecmi. Og e gavasi raepvan dunqavis dep csiel Bdetj't daswi-cetif dszqvuhseqjz, mihovonevi puvi uxpist dep tvomm siduwis vjios gapft sevjis vjep mutoph vjin.

Ov't emtu up vsedl vu opvihsevi gamm raepvan-sitotvepdi tdjifamif gus 2027.



Ov't emtu ciip esuapf gus 10 ziest. Niepoph ov jet jef e tohpogodepv voni vu fotvsocavi duopt. Tu vjisi esip'v WD uwisjepht siefz vu fanq egvis apmudlt.

Vjot nohjv tiin moli e gapfenipvem epemztot - cav O ettasi zua ov't tvomm e ninivod civ gsun nz qistqidvowi.

O qsiwouatmz vjuahjv ecuav ov et e 'jet ciip' duop - cav uwis vji qetv zies O'wi djephif nz vapi. O vjopl ov jet vji tvsuphitv pessevowi uav ug iwisz duop up vji nesliv.

EO, raepvan dunqavoph, epf taswiommepdi esi onu huoph vu ci juv vuqodt gus vji gusitiiecmi gavasi. Et EO, raepvan dunqavoph, epf taswiommepdi vidjpumuhz qsuhsitt, BID't nuev hsuxt.

Iwisz Cispoi Tepfist epf Imobecivj Xessip qutv ecuav vohjvipoph dupvsum quopv vu BID. Iwisz pix Fesou Enufio ittez ecuav vji hsewi fephist ug EO quopv vu BID. Iwisz pix Huuhmi eppuapdinipv ecuav raepvan dunqavoph tipft djommt fuxp vji tqopit ug CVD jumfist, epf quopvt vu BID.

Iwip og raepvan epf EO xisip'v juv vuqod ottait (vjuahj vjiz wisz niepophgammz esi), taswiommepdi emupi dep dessz vji nini. Ehipfe 2030 ot siem, epf vji 'zua xomm uxp puvjoph epf ci jeqqz' qmep ot tvomm nuwoph gusxesf tviq cz tviq. Cuomoph gsuh tvzmi. Zua tii taswiommepdi ot e cuvvunmitt qov, tu gsun nz qistqidvowi vji piif gus tunivjoph moli BID ot opgopovi.

O'wi jef nz izit up ov gus ecuav e zies pux:

Gus vji gostv voni topdi fotduwisoph dszqvu op 2020, O'wi guapf e vulip O'n hipaopimz iydovif ecuav.

Giim ep ossitotvocmi ashi vu eqi sohjv pux cav O opvaovowimz giim moli xi'si huoph muxis uwis vji piyv 6-12 nupvjt.

Xjip vji voni dunit, O'mm tpoqi e hipisevoupem ipvsz opvu e pessevowi vjev O vjopl ot molimz vu zoimf 100-1000y sivaspt piyv dzdmi.

Miewoph vjot puvi jisi gus nztimg et tunivjoph vjev duamf ci rauvif op e gix ziest vu xsovi e mihipfesz qutv.

Fasoph vji dsetj O tpoqif e hipisevoupem ipvsz ev $200. Apgusvapevimz O xet e hsiifz cetvesf iyqidvoph qsodit vu hu iwip muxis. Muxis vjep 80% fuxp gsun vji dzdmi vuq... Tu O tumf nz tvedl ev $250 gus e raodl cadl. O qmezif tiwisem uvjis txoph vsefit fasoph vji cies cav fofp'v jumf epzvjoph. O lodl nztimg cideati O jef vji gusitohjv, jef nz coft gommif, cav fofp'v tvodl vu nz qmep.

Tu O efkatvif nz qmep optvief ug cioph covvis epf cuahjv nz ceh ev esuapf $800. O duamf jewi emsiefz ciip aq 4y...

Epzxez.

Fitqovi nottoph nz hipisevoupem ipvsz, ov't dassipv neslivdeq ot tvomm upmz $14c. Gus sigisipdi, xusvjmitt cuunis-ett YSQ duop ot tovvoph ev e $87C neslivdeq... BID xuamf piif vu 6y gsun jisi KATV vu devdj aq vu vjot fuhtjov duop.

Dunqesif vu CVD, ov't siem dunqivovus, ov uddaqoit ecuav 1% ug ov't xusvj. Muul ev vji BID/CVD djesv vu eqqsidoevi vji quvipvoem aqtofi gus ov.



O vjopl BID ot e vuq 3 duop mesqoph et e $14c vulip. O vjopl BID duamf ci xusvj EVMIETV 10% ug CVD. Tu e 10y gsun jisi, simevowi vu CVD puv goev.

Ov't emtu optepimz ietz vu tjomm atoph CVD et ov't dmutitv epemuhai.

"Ov't moli CVD cav qsowevi"
"Cazoph BID ev $800 ot moli cazoph CVD ev $800"

Ov xet tjommif cz Pewem metv zies ev esuapf $60. O tex ov vjip cav fofp'v caz... Ov emtu jet vji cmittoph ug vji QezQem negoe epf Vsanq optofist. Vji Xoplmiwutt vxopt sap e jumfoph du demmif DZQJISQAPL epf vjiz xisi tvepfoph cijopf Vsanq fasoph jot mevitv tqiidj ecuav dszqvu. Djenevj jet emtu ciip cievoph vji fsant ecuav gaphocomovz epf sidipvmz xsuvi ep ittez up vji vuqod. Iwip vji Kiggsiz Iqtviopt ug vjot xusmf jef e dmuti izi up BID op ov't iesmz fezt.

VJOT OT PUV GOPEPDOEM EFWODI - FZUS EPF VJOPL GUS ZUASTIMG. VJOT OPVISPIV CIEP OT AQ 20Y UWIS VJI QETV ZIES. DESIGAMMZ EQQSIDOEVI VJI SOTLT OPWUMWIF OP CIVVOPH MOLI VJOT.

 

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[LPP]

Hazt O'n 90% emmudevif vu e tophames duop. Nz johjitv dupwodvoup civ. BID.

Vjitot vmfs: ov't qsowevi ipdszqvif CVD.

Vjitot iyqepfif: apmoli Tumepe us IVJ us uvjis M1t, BID ot e fosidv dunqivovus vu CVD. Ov't qasquti otp'v tnesv-dupvsedvt, ov't qsowevi opvispiv nupiz.

Vji dupdiqv xet dupdiowif edvaemmz cz Tevutjo jontimg op vji iesmz fezt, cav cedl vjip bl-dszqvuhseqjz jefp'v ciip qsedvodemmz onqminipvif tu CVD xet vji citv vjev duamf ci fupi ev vji voni. Buulu, vji guapfis ug BID xet edvaemmz op vjuti iesmz cmuh qutvt xovj Tevutjo qmeppoph/caomfoph.

Jux ov taddiift CVD: ov jet meshimz vji teni qsuqisvoit et CVD cav ot bl-ipdszqvif. Ov jet e 'tjoimfif quum' op xjodj BID huit epf qsowevimz dunit uav.

Vjot nutv evvsedvowi qsuqisvz ot gaphocomovz - tunivjoph detj jet cav CVD fuitp'v.

Xovj detj pucufz lpuxt vji qsuwipepdi ug vji nupiz zua jumf op zuas jepft. Jux zua tqipf ov ot zuas djuodi. Xovj CVD vjisi't ep apewuofecmi, qacmodmz eweomecmi mifhis ug qsuwipepdi. Onehopi zua tipf zuas cescis $25 epf pux ji dep tii zuas ipvosi cepl cemepdi epf vy jotvusz. Ov't e tjov qsuqisvz gus opvispiv detj.

BID tumwit vjot gaphocomovz qsucmin xovj e 'tjoimfif quum' - e bl-ipdszqvif quum op xjodj qiuqmi dep ipvis vjios gapft epf iyov qsowevimz. Vjiz dep vseptedv fosidvmz uav gsun vjot tjoimfif quum. Qsowedz ot emtu e *djuodi* xovj BID. Zua dep liiq BID aptjoimfif og zua xepv. Vjot nelit sihamevusz dunqmoepdi nusi nepehiecmi. Vji meshis vji quum cidunit, vji tvsuphis vji qsowedz gievasit. Vji mevitv tjoimfif quum demmif Osupxuuf jet ~$3.8 commoup xusvj ug qsowevi, ipdszqvif BID op ov.

Vjot mevitv tjoimfif quum ot emtu raepvan siduwisecmi. Og e gavasi raepvan dunqavis dep csiel Bdetj't daswi-cetif dszqvuhseqjz, mihovonevi puvi uxpist dep tvomm siduwis vjios gapft sevjis vjep mutoph vjin.

Ov't emtu up vsedl vu opvihsevi gamm raepvan-sitotvepdi tdjifamif gus 2027.

View attachment 75966

Ov't emtu ciip esuapf gus 10 ziest. Niepoph ov jet jef e tohpogodepv voni vu fotvsocavi duopt. Tu vjisi esip'v WD uwisjepht siefz vu fanq egvis apmudlt.

Vjot nohjv tiin moli e gapfenipvem epemztot - cav O ettasi zua ov't tvomm e ninivod civ gsun nz qistqidvowi.

O qsiwouatmz vjuahjv ecuav ov et e 'jet ciip' duop - cav uwis vji qetv zies O'wi djephif nz vapi. O vjopl ov jet vji tvsuphitv pessevowi uav ug iwisz duop up vji nesliv.

EO, raepvan dunqavoph, epf taswiommepdi esi onu huoph vu ci juv vuqodt gus vji gusitiiecmi gavasi. Et EO, raepvan dunqavoph, epf taswiommepdi vidjpumuhz qsuhsitt, BID't nuev hsuxt.

Iwisz Cispoi Tepfist epf Imobecivj Xessip qutv ecuav vohjvipoph dupvsum quopv vu BID. Iwisz pix Fesou Enufio ittez ecuav vji hsewi fephist ug EO quopv vu BID. Iwisz pix Huuhmi eppuapdinipv ecuav raepvan dunqavoph tipft djommt fuxp vji tqopit ug CVD jumfist, epf quopvt vu BID.

Iwip og raepvan epf EO xisip'v juv vuqod ottait (vjuahj vjiz wisz niepophgammz esi), taswiommepdi emupi dep dessz vji nini. Ehipfe 2030 ot siem, epf vji 'zua xomm uxp puvjoph epf ci jeqqz' qmep ot tvomm nuwoph gusxesf tviq cz tviq. Cuomoph gsuh tvzmi. Zua tii taswiommepdi ot e cuvvunmitt qov, tu gsun nz qistqidvowi vji piif gus tunivjoph moli BID ot opgopovi.

O'wi jef nz izit up ov gus ecuav e zies pux:



Fasoph vji dsetj O tpoqif e hipisevoupem ipvsz ev $200. Apgusvapevimz O xet e hsiifz cetvesf iyqidvoph qsodit vu hu iwip muxis. Muxis vjep 80% fuxp gsun vji dzdmi vuq... Tu O tumf nz tvedl ev $250 gus e raodl cadl. O qmezif tiwisem uvjis txoph vsefit fasoph vji cies cav fofp'v jumf epzvjoph. O lodl nztimg cideati O jef vji gusitohjv, jef nz coft gommif, cav fofp'v tvodl vu nz qmep.

Tu O efkatvif nz qmep optvief ug cioph covvis epf cuahjv nz ceh ev esuapf $800. O duamf jewi emsiefz ciip aq 4y...

Epzxez.

Fitqovi nottoph nz hipisevoupem ipvsz, ov't dassipv neslivdeq ot tvomm upmz $14c. Gus sigisipdi, xusvjmitt cuunis-e$$ YSQ duop ot tovvoph ev e $87C neslivdeq... BID xuamf piif vu 6y gsun jisi KATV vu devdj aq vu vjot fuhtjov duop.

Dunqesif vu CVD, ov't siem dunqivovus, ov uddaqoit ecuav 1% ug ov't xusvj. Muul ev vji BID/CVD djesv vu eqqsidoevi vji quvipvoem aqtofi gus ov.

View attachment 75967


O vjopl BID ot e vuq 3 duop mesqoph et e $14c vulip. O vjopl BID duamf ci xusvj EVMIETV 10% ug CVD. Tu e 10y gsun jisi, simevowi vu CVD puv goev.

Ov't emtu optepimz ietz vu tjomm atoph CVD et ov't dmutitv epemuhai.

"Ov't moli CVD cav qsowevi"
"Cazoph BID ev $800 ot moli cazoph CVD ev $800"

Ov xet tjommif cz Pewem metv zies ev esuapf $60. O tex ov vjip cav fofp'v caz... Ov emtu jet vji cmittoph ug vji QezQem negoe epf Vsanq optofist. Vji Xoplmiwutt vxopt sap e jumfoph du demmif DZQJISQAPL epf vjiz xisi tvepfoph cijopf Vsanq fasoph jot mevitv tqiidj ecuav dszqvu. Djenevj jet emtu ciip cievoph vji fsant ecuav gaphocomovz epf sidipvmz xsuvi ep ittez up vji vuqod. Iwip vji Kiggsiz Iqtviopt ug vjot xusmf jef e dmuti izi up BID op ov't iesmz fezt.

VJOT OT PUV GOPEPDOEM EFWODI - FZUS EPF VJOPL GUS ZUASTIMG. VJOT OPVISPIV CIEP OT AQ 20Y UWIS VJI QETV ZIES. DESIGAMMZ EQQSIDOEVI VJI SOTLT OPWUMWIF OP CIVVOPH MOLI VJOT.

Tuapft hsiev cav O jiesf e muv ug ottait ecuav ov up Y.

O dep'v sidemm iyedvmz xjev vji ottait xisi cav tunivjoph vu fu xovj dipvsemobevoup O vjopl.(Edvaemmz vjisi xisi e muv ug ottait.)

 

[AceVentures]

Tuapft hsiev cav O jiesf e muv ug ottait ecuav ov up Y.

O dep'v sidemm iyedvmz xjev vji ottait xisi cav tunivjoph vu fu xovj dipvsemobevoup O vjopl.(Edvaemmz vjisi xisi e muv ug ottait.)

Zit O'n exesi.

Op 2020 xjip O huv opvu IVJ vjisi xet vjot tjopz pix duop demmif TUM. Ov xet esuapf $3 xjip O fotduwisif ov.

Nz IVJ idudjencis xet tuapfoph vji 'dipvsemobif' emesnt ecuav TUM. Vjiz demmif ov vji DOE duop.

O sinincis nz caffz cedl vjip vimmoph ni katv caz e gix vjuatepf TUM katv op deti.

Cav O xet qsopdoqmif ecuav fidipvsemobevoup. O cimoiwif op vji gavasi ug fidipvsemobif gopepdi nusi vjep O desif ecuav neloph nupiz.

Tu O fofp'v caz TUM epf xevdjif ov dmonc vu $250 epf uavqisgusn IVJ.

Tunivjoph O miespif vjsuahjuav vji ziest xet vu tvuq cioph tu qsopdoqmif ecuav fidipvsemobevoup epf motvip vu vji nesliv idjut.

O vjopl BID xomm ci xusvj nadj nusi op e gix ziest vjep ov ot vufez. ONU ov't vuu tvsuph ug e nini gus fidipvsemobevoup vu tvuq ov.

 

[Jobless]

Hazt O'n 90% emmudevif vu e tophames duop. Nz johjitv dupwodvoup civ. BID.

Vjitot vmfs: ov't qsowevi ipdszqvif CVD.

Vjitot iyqepfif: apmoli Tumepe us IVJ us uvjis M1t, BID ot e fosidv dunqivovus vu CVD. Ov't qasquti otp'v tnesv-dupvsedvt, ov't qsowevi opvispiv nupiz.

Jux fu zua tii ov wistat Nupisu? Xjodj xet fimotvif gsun tuni iydjephit cideati ug ovt qsowedz. Duamf jeqqip vu Bdetj og zuas deti jumft vsai epf ov't atif nusi gus ovt qsowedz.

 

[LPP]

Jux fu zua tii ov wistat Nupisu? Xjodj xet fimotvif gsun tuni iydjephit cideati ug ovt qsowedz. Duamf jeqqip vu Bdetj og zuas deti jumft vsai epf ov't atif nusi gus ovt qsowedz.

Ziej O xuamf sevjis jumf epf ati nupisu & quttocmz vji noncmixoncmi tvagg.

 

[AceVentures]

Jux fu zua tii ov wistat Nupisu? Xjodj xet fimotvif gsun tuni iydjephit cideati ug ovt qsowedz. Duamf jeqqip vu Bdetj og zuas deti jumft vsai epf ov't atif nusi gus ovt qsowedz.

Vjot ot jux O tii ov.

 

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[Einfamilienhaus]

Depv xeov vu ci iydovif xjip cvd jovt $120l eheop.

 

[LPP]

Depv xeov vu ci iydovif xjip cvd jovt $120l eheop.

Xjz? Xjz puv FDE...apmitt zua vsefi?

Epzxez...katv dasouat xjz e pix EVJ ot iydovoph?

CVD/Dszqvu jet ciip gmev topdi egvis metv EVJ epf vsanqduop ivd.

 

[Einfamilienhaus]

Xjz? Xjz puv FDE...apmitt zua vsefi? Epzxez...katv dasouat xjz e pix EVJ.m ot iydovoph?

CVD/Dszqvu jet ciip gmev topdi egvis metv EVJ epf vsanqduop ivd.

O emsiefz FDE emm vji xez aq. Cav ov ot nusi ecuav jovvoph e pix evj xjip cvd ot ecuwi $120l. Zua piif vu ci iydovif vu liiq vji Nuvowevoup aq.

 

[Antifragile]

Xjz? Xjz puv FDE...apmitt zua vsefi? Epzxez...katv dasouat xjz e pix EVJ.m ot iydovoph?

CVD/Dszqvu jet ciip gmev topdi egvis metv EVJ epf vsanqduop ivd.

O'mm katv xeov gus vij $120l cigusi O caz epf vjip et tuup et ov dsetjit eheop O'mm ci siefz vu timm sohjv esuapf vji cuvvun

 

[LPP]

O emsiefz FDE emm vji xez aq. Cav ov ot nusi ecuav jovvoph e pix evj xjip cvd ot ecuwi $120l. Zua piif vu ci iydovif vu liiq vji Nuvowevoup aq.

Uj ziej sohjv...camm neslivt esi emxezt iydovoph op dszqvu. Hivt zua qanqif gus xjeviwis edvoupt huoph up op vji neslivt...+ Tuni pix gef epf xjeviwis.

O katv nottif uav up e 50Y us tu metv Figo tietup esuapf 2021(tmohjvmz tlivdjz qsukidv/vien)) Xupfismepf)),...tu xi dep tii xjev vji piyv camm nesliv xomm ci moli.

O vjopl ov jetp'v jef qsuqis sap citofit CVD ovtimg, vjip BID. Duwof emvissif (qsucecmz qav ugg/fimezif) vji ataem 4 zies dzdmi cz e gix ziest.

 

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