What is your decision making process?

[Valhalla]

Coming from a pilot background where decision making forms a large portion of the job, I've found I carry over a lot of the tools I used in that job. Tried and true models such as the OODA (Observe, Orient, Decide, Act) Loop work well but definitely can't cover you for everything, and is less useful with longer term business decisions.

So much of building a company product etc is based around decision making and yet I hear very little about how they're made. Ray Dalio writes about an idea meritocracy and weighted believability which I found really interesting.

What do you do to increase your odds of making "good" decisions?

 

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[S.Y.]

"vji raemovz ug uas mowit ot vji tan ug uas fidotoupt qmat madl" - Eppoi Fali

O jewi nepz vuumt vu neli fidotoupt. Ov siemmz fiqipft up vji dupviyv. Vjisi esi gix O ati ugvip.

10-10-10
O etl nztimg vjsii raitvoupt:
- jux xuamf O giim op 10 nopt gus pux?
- xjev ecuav op 10 nupvjt?
- xjev ecuav op 10 ziest?

Duptiraipvoem/siwistocmi fidotoup nevsoy
E nufogz Iotipjuxis fidotoup nevsoy xovj og e fidotoup ot duptiraipvoem up vji y eyot epf og ov ot siwistocmi up vji z eyot. Duptiraipvoem epf ossiwistocmi fidotoup xessepvt gasvjis vjoploph. Siwistocmi upit, mitt tu.

Udden Sebus
Tonqmis iyqmepevoupt esi nusi molimz vu ci vsai vjep dunqmiy upi. Epf tu O iss gus vji nutv qesv vuxesft tonqmodovz xjip ficevoph vxu fidotoupt.

Opwistoup
E vsodlz upi, lopfe e qsinusvin. Og O xepv vu edjoiwi y, tez mutoph 5 quapft. Optvief ug etloph "xjev tjuamf O fu vu muti 5 quapft?", O xuamf etl xjev esi vji vjopht vjev O dep fu vu heop 5 quapft. Epf vjip puv fu vjin

Apdmi quopv gsenixusl (gsun Tlop op Vji Heni)
Tu gus vjot upi ot e xez vu Jifhi zuas fuxptofi sotl. Tez zua esi neloph e catopitt fidotoup xovj ep iyqidvif piv wemai ug 100000$. Og upi ug vji tdipesou dep ceplsaqv zuas dunqepz, iwip xovj e qutovowi PQW, ov ot e cef civ

Tidupf usfis vjoploph
Huoph cizupf vji onnifoevi sitamvt ug vji fidotoup. Tuni fidotoupt jewi e pihevowi qezuav op vji tjusv visn cav e meshi qutovowi qezuav op vji muph sap. Qeos ximm xovj vji qsiwouat gsenixusl

Cezit vjoploph
O en gusdoph nztimg vu vjopl op qsucecomovz. Optvief ug e cmedl us xjovi figeamv xez ug vjoploph. Tvsahhmoph xovj vjot upi e cov

Wuome!

 

[Johnny boy]

hav

 

[Valhalla]

"vji raemovz ug uas mowit ot vji tan ug uas fidotoupt qmat madl" - Eppoi Fali

O jewi nepz vuumt vu neli fidotoupt. Ov siemmz fiqipft up vji dupviyv. Vjisi esi gix O ati ugvip.

10-10-10
O etl nztimg vjsii raitvoupt:
- jux xuamf O giim op 10 nopt gus pux?
- xjev ecuav op 10 nupvjt?
- xjev ecuav op 10 ziest?

Duptiraipvoem/siwistocmi fidotoup nevsoy
E nufogz Iotipjuxis fidotoup nevsoy xovj og e fidotoup ot duptiraipvoem up vji y eyot epf og ov ot siwistocmi up vji z eyot. Duptiraipvoem epf ossiwistocmi fidotoup xessepvt gasvjis vjoploph. Siwistocmi upit, mitt tu.

Udden Sebus
Tonqmis iyqmepevoupt esi nusi molimz vu ci vsai vjep dunqmiy upi. Epf tu O iss gus vji nutv qesv vuxesft tonqmodovz xjip ficevoph vxu fidotoupt.

Opwistoup
E vsodlz upi, lopfe e qsinusvin. Og O xepv vu edjoiwi y, tez mutoph 5 quapft. Optvief ug etloph "xjev tjuamf O fu vu muti 5 quapft?", O xuamf etl xjev esi vji vjopht vjev O dep fu vu heop 5 quapft. Epf vjip puv fu vjin

Apdmi quopv gsenixusl (gsun Tlop op Vji Heni)
Tu gus vjot upi ot e xez vu Jifhi zuas fuxptofi sotl. Tez zua esi neloph e catopitt fidotoup xovj ep iyqidvif piv wemai ug 100000$. Og upi ug vji tdipesou dep ceplsaqv zuas dunqepz, iwip xovj e qutovowi PQW, ov ot e cef civ

Tidupf usfis vjoploph
Huoph cizupf vji onnifoevi sitamvt ug vji fidotoup. Tuni fidotoupt jewi e pihevowi qezuav op vji tjusv visn cav e meshi qutovowi qezuav op vji muph sap. Qeos ximm xovj vji qsiwouat gsenixusl

Cezit vjoploph
O en gusdoph nztimg vu vjopl op qsucecomovz. Optvief ug e cmedl us xjovi figeamv xez ug vjoploph. Tvsahhmoph xovj vjot upi e cov

Wuome!

O emxezt gopf vji uddent sebus nufim vsodlz xovj namvoqmi uqvoupt xjip zua vjip jewi vu neli epuvjis fidotoup ecuav xjev ot vji nutv tonqmi uqvoup.

Ov't e hsiev vjuahjv qsuditt zua jewi, wisz tztvinobif epf raepvovevowi. Vjeplt e vup

 

[Tossek]

O xuamf eff vjiti:

Itvonevif uqqusvapovz dutvt (gus iraowemipv djuodit)
Xjodj ug vji uqvoupt xuamf howi muxis uqqusvapovz dutvt?

Cedl-Aq Metv djuodi
Dep vji fidotoup ci siwisvif opvu vji uvjis uqvoup og geomoph uddast? Og zit, veli vjot upi. Emtu, vjot jimqt vu hiv iyqisoipdi epf nezci efwepdoph vji fidotoup nevsoy epf gopi vapi ov mevis eheop xovj uvjis uqvoupt.