People are full of shit, and no one can tell the future. I saw a guy who could read the market astonishingly well lose his a$$ on a bad call on another company.. we are one trade away from humility - hence manage your risk. Will be hard to do since at your level putting 5-10% of the portfolio is negligible, you are getting eaten by fees - and when your account gets bigger you'll be putting even less on each bet if you are disciplined.
Just because you can't tell the future doesn't mean you can't predict it with odds in your favor. Also, new traders can escape this by going directly into currency trading for pips! As long as they don't sign up at a bucket shop like forex.com.
The-J said:
Day trading really isn't investing, is it?
It's an arbitrage game, playing on probabilities.
Care to speak more on your experiences with day trading? I'm interested to hear about em.
Ya it's not investing AT ALL haha. Neither is the majority of common stock trading. I really did love it and was interested in moving up in the world with it, but the stress was just too much to handle. And ya I'll share more! I was actually your age when I was doing it full time.
I had a split portfolio between short term swing trades and a day trading account where I would spot out my trades the night before. A typical night would be scanning the stock charts for certain indicator plays as well as rumors and schedules for expected news for what to watch. I'd then wake up at around 5:30am, turn on MSNBC, and setup my trading windows for the day. I have a 3 monitor computer setup right now which is great for productivity for software development, but back then I was using a 6 monitor setup so I could see everything at a glance.
One of the trades I made was buying Apple in January of 2010 in the 120's, and sold it several months later in the 190's I believe? As we know now... it went on to go over $500 a share, but I was convinced that there would be consumer revolt over the iPhone 4 and the 1st generation iPad. The iPhone 4 promised 4g to people who pre-bought in September of 2009, but released news 2 weeks before it's release that it would only have 3g. The news almost made me sell, but the dip wasn't that bad and there was still big hype for the release of the iPad. When the iPad was finally released, it lacked features the prototypes had which showed a clear rollback of the device to purposely pump a 2nd generation. They were screwing over their customers. Also, they had described the iPad as a touch-screen MacBook, not an application running device or an enlarged version of the iTouch. It wasn't even revolutionary... After I sold, I was waiting for consumer's to catch up to what Apple had pulled on them, but they noticed. That was one of the big business lessons I learned in life so far.
Swing trading was my most lucrative trading set. It consists of buying, selling, shorting, covering, and repeating on a stock that's oscillating in price. The bulk shipping industry had some stocks like EGLE and DRYS around the time that seemed to be on a perfect month and a half cycle being controlled by a large NY hedge fund which showed 30-80% 1.5 monthly swings!
There was a lot going on with it, so if anyone has any super specific questions with it, like brokerages, mm's, or theory or anything, drop me a pm or ask in a thread!