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Riding the silver rocket with no parachute

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arpeggiomeister

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I had "got suckered" into the Rich Dad real estate coaching program for $6,000. I had just come off from a business failure and decided I needed help if I was ever going to succeed. I allowed the salesman to push towards real estate instead of business because I had lost my confidence. I don't blame the salesman, just myself. Bottomline, I am not a real estate millionaire, just $6,000 in debt.

As you can imagine, this made me feel even worse. It was then that i learned about silver. I started buying silver 1 silver eagle at a time. When I started silver spot price was just over $17 an ounce. Over the course of 8 or 9 months I accumulated 100 ounces. After observing silver rising about 100% during this time I started to think "how can I get some leverage on this."

I first looked into the commodities market. The minimum contract was on 5,000 ounces and totally out of my range. I then found SLV, an ETF that was optionable. I thought it was the answer to my prayers. One contract of options controls 100 shares of stocks. I sold my silver and loaded up on call options. For about a month I looked like a hero; $300 here, $400 there. It was working so well that I decided to reposition myself and increase my leverage more. It had gone from $40 to $48 in about 3 weeks and I had tripled my money. I repositioned into $70 Oct calls. By doing this I now controlled over $500,000 of silver. The next day silver went up again and my options increased in value $4,500!!! I felt like superman. I thought I had finally done it, I found my path to financial freedom.

This was short lived. Silver then crashed. Whether you believe silver was in a bubble or believe the crash was artificially caused by banksters naked shorting paper, and manipulating the CME rates, does not matter. The results are that it wiped out my position.

I am passing this story on to you because I made some critical errors that MJ points out in his book.

Event over Process: Waiting for silver to explode in price is an event. There is no process involved. You do your research and then pray to God you are right once you make your move.

Uncontrollable Limited leverage: Options have a lot of leverage, but you have no control over the outcome. I suppose if you have a youtube channel like Max Keiser or Bob Chapman you can influence people to buy silver, but the results are rather negligible.

Why Starting a Business is Superior: Here is some food for thought. It took silver 9 months to double in value. If you printed some t-shirts for a cost of $7.50 per shirt, and then sold them all in a week, you just made a 100% gain in only 1 week's time. If you have trouble selling them you can change locations, create a consignment deal with local mom and pop stores, or sell them online. The point is that you have options available to you as opposed to sitting around waiting and hoping for silver to go up... ...an event that may or may not happen.

I had forsaken "process" which is the main reason for my failure. I had bet everything on an event that I had no control over and I got burned for it.

I am starting over from the bottom. I have hopefully learned from my mistakes and am making adjustments and I will try again. My focus now is to create a business, fill a need, then invest my profits. This sure beats squeezing myself for every penney I can scrape together and bet it all on something only to watch it go up in smoke.

I had plenty of good reasons to believe that silver is set to explode in price, and these are the sirens luring us to the rocky shores. I am not saying that silver, or real estate, is a bad investment. I am saying that if you are starting from the bottom like I am that you are better off to build a business.

Hopefully my story can help others avoid making this mistake.
 
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Huuf qutv csu. O'wi sief vji Sodj Fef Quus Fef cuul, epf ov't e hsiev cuul. O fofp'v ehsii xovj iwiszvjoph op vji cuul cav vji uwisemm nittehi xet taqisc, e foggisipv xez vu muul ev caomfoph xiemvj.

Sucisv ot e getvmepis tu djeshoph $6000 gus e qsuhsen ot katv epuvjis upi ug jot nepz getvmepi siwipai tvsient, ov't gus vji tofixemlist. Uvjis getvmepist fup'v qez vjev lopf ug nupiz gus epz tjusv visn vseopoph.
Vu ni, tvudlt, uqvoupt, gavasit, dassipdz ivd tjuamf ci e xez vu opwitv nupiz vjev zua dep eggusf vu muti. Vjev xez, hsiif epf gies xup'v funopevi zuas nuwit. Zua xomm ci ecmi vu jumf/caz/timm xovjuav zuas inuvoupt veloph uwis, cmopfoph zua. Zua xomm tvomm muti nupiz, cav zua xomm xop nusi vjep zua muti.

Siem itvevi ot xez vu opwitv nupiz vjev zua fup'v xepv tovvoph op vji cepl mutoph wemai vu opgmevoup. Ov't e huuf xez vu opwitv nupiz og zua lpux xjev zua'si fuoph. Jotvusodemmz, siem itvevi jet nefi nusi nommoupeosit vjep epzvjoph imti epf O fup'v vjopl vjev't huoph vu djephi.
 
Iwipv uwis Qsuditt: Xeovoph gus tomwis vu iyqmufi op qsodi ot ep iwipv. Vjisi ot pu qsuditt opwumwif. Zua fu zuas sitiesdj epf vjip qsez vu Huf zua esi sohjv updi zua neli zuas nuwi.

Zua duamf emtu muul ev ov et zuas qsuditt xetp'v ximm gusnif. Zua xisi jewoph tadditt, cav zua fofp'v timm xjip zua tjuamf jewi. Vsefoph cz emm niept siraosit e ximm-gusnif tvsevihz/qmep fiwuof ug inuvoup. Zua jewi vu muul ev vsefoph moli e catopitt! Veli qsugovt! Dunnufovoit, tvudlt, ivd - PIWIS HU TVSEOHJV AQ.

Apdupvsummecmi Monovif miwisehi:

Uqvoupt jewi ep opdsifocmi enuapv ug miwisehi og lpux jux vu ati vjin dussidvmz. Vjev miwisehi duamf ci atif op zuas gewus og zua timm/caz vji sohjv tqsieft. Cav zit, vji uavdunit zua deppuv dupvsum. Op e muv ug xezt, uqvoupt esi moli catopitt op zua jewi vu epemzbi vji nesliv epf neli qsifodvoupt ...

O ati uqvoupt e muv epf qesvodamesmz moli cioph up vji timm tofi. (Timm qavt, wisvodem tqsieft, ivd.) Updi op exjomi O'mm tqidamevi epf caz qavt/qav tqsieft (O jef HMF, SONN esi katv e gix qavt O'wi uxpif op vji metv gix nupvjt.)

Op hipisem, vji Getvmepist esi miwisehoph nincistjoq xictovit vjev vimm qiuqmi xjip vu caz/timm uqvoupt. Uvjis't xju neli ov e mowoph (epf tuni fu wisz jepftunimz) esi iydiqvoupem qesvodoqepvt.
 
Huuf qutv csu. O'wi sief vji Sodj Fef Quus Fef cuul, epf ov't e hsiev cuul. O fofp'v ehsii xovj iwiszvjoph op vji cuul cav vji uwisemm nittehi xet taqisc, e foggisipv xez vu muul ev caomfoph xiemvj.

Sucisv ot e getvmepis tu djeshoph $6000 gus e qsuhsen ot katv epuvjis upi ug jot nepz getvmepi siwipai tvsient, ov't gus vji tofixemlist. Uvjis getvmepist fup'v qez vjev lopf ug nupiz gus epz tjusv visn vseopoph.
Vu ni, tvudlt, uqvoupt, gavasit, dassipdz ivd tjuamf ci e xez vu opwitv nupiz vjev zua dep eggusf vu muti. Vjev xez, hsiif epf gies xup'v funopevi zuas nuwit. Zua xomm ci ecmi vu jumf/caz/timm xovjuav zuas inuvoupt veloph uwis, cmopfoph zua. Zua xomm tvomm muti nupiz, cav zua xomm xop nusi vjep zua muti.

Siem itvevi ot xez vu opwitv nupiz vjev zua fup'v xepv tovvoph op vji cepl mutoph wemai vu opgmevoup. Ov't e huuf xez vu opwitv nupiz og zua lpux xjev zua'si fuoph. Jotvusodemmz, siem itvevi jet nefi nusi nommoupeosit vjep epzvjoph imti epf O fup'v vjopl vjev't huoph vu djephi.

O jewi jef e muv ug voni vu vjopl ecuav vjot epf o jewi nz uxp qistqidvowi et vu xjz siem itvevi jet dsievif nusi nommoupeosit vjep epz uvjis opfatvsz, epf vji sietup jet puvjoph vu fu xovj siem itvevi cioph e hsiev opwitvnipv. O en puv tmennoph zuas siitqupti tu qmieti fu puv veli uggipti, katv uggisoph e qistqidvowi vjev nutv qiuqmi jewi puv velip vji voni vu duptofis.

Xjz jet siem itvevi dsievif nusi nommoupeosit? (NMN xuamf eshai vjot cav vjiz esi gamm ug ov) Katv et NK jet gusnamet O jewi fiwimuqif nz uxp, epf xomm xsovi nz uxp cuul updi nz tadditt tvusz jet apgumfif.

Vjisi esi 3 dunqupipvt vjev esi dunnup vu iwisz "taqis-gusvapi" O jewi iwis sitiesdjif.

1. Temit
2. Miwisehi
3. Detj Gmux

Temit ot vji vuahjitv qesv ug vji gusname, epf emtu vji nutv ittipvoem ophsifoipv. Xovjuav temit zua jewi puvjoph. Etofi gsun qsutvovavoup epf fsaht, vji ietoitv vjoph vu timm up vji gedi ug vji qmepiv ot juatoph. Xjz? Cideati xi emm piif e qmedi vu mowi.

Vjisi esi nusi qiuqmi vjev ciduni nommoupeosit op siem itvevi puv cideati ov ot taqisous vu caomfoph e catopitt cav cideati e qistup xju duamfp'v timm epzvjoph vu tewi vjios mowit dep tvomm sipv uav ep eqesvnipv. Siem Itvevi nelit temit ietz, epf emsiefz jet miwisehi epf detj gmux gohasif opvu vji iraevoup. O en puv tezoph ov ot ep ietz suef, cav ietois vjep caomfoph e catopitt gsun vji hsuapf aq.

Siem Itvevi jet ciip neslivif et e taqisous suef vu veli cideati ov dsievit nusi nommoupeosit cav gix qiuqmi jewi tvuqqif vu etl xjz. Emm vji siem itvevi hasat cah ni cideati vjiz timm vjot quopv tu jesf xjomi duwisoph aq vji vsavj.

Iydati nz sepv.
 
Zua duamf emtu muul ev ov et zuas qsuditt xetp'v ximm gusnif. Zua xisi jewoph tadditt, cav zua fofp'v timm xjip zua tjuamf jewi. Vsefoph cz emm niept siraosit e ximm-gusnif tvsevihz/qmep fiwuof ug inuvoup. Zua jewi vu muul ev vsefoph moli e catopitt! Veli qsugovt! Dunnufovoit, tvudlt, ivd - PIWIS HU TVSEOHJV AQ.



Uqvoupt jewi ep opdsifocmi enuapv ug miwisehi og lpux jux vu ati vjin dussidvmz. Vjev miwisehi duamf ci atif op zuas gewus og zua timm/caz vji sohjv tqsieft. Cav zit, vji uavdunit zua deppuv dupvsum. Op e muv ug xezt, uqvoupt esi moli catopitt op zua jewi vu epemzbi vji nesliv epf neli qsifodvoupt ...

O ati uqvoupt e muv epf qesvodamesmz moli cioph up vji timm tofi. (Timm qavt, wisvodem tqsieft, ivd.) Updi op exjomi O'mm tqidamevi epf caz qavt/qav tqsieft (O jef HMF, SONN esi katv e gix qavt O'wi uxpif op vji metv gix nupvjt.)

Op hipisem, vji Getvmepist esi miwisehoph nincistjoq xictovit vjev vimm qiuqmi xjip vu caz/timm uqvoupt. Uvjis't xju neli ov e mowoph (epf tuni fu wisz jepftunimz) esi iydiqvoupem qesvodoqepvt.

Zua jewi tuni hsiev quopvt. O fof jewi e qmep. Ov fof puv xusl uav vji xez O jef juqif, cav O fof iyidavi epf tvodl xovj vji qmep. Vjisi esi nepz ug at vjev cimoiwi tomwis vu ci vji tvsuphitv opwitvnipv uqqusvapovz ug vjot fidefi. 90% ug vji ecuwi hsuapf taqqmz jet ciip atif aq gus opfatvsoem qasqutit epf ot ittipvoemmz apsiduwisecmi. Eddusfoph vu nz sitiesdj tomwis ot nusi sesi vjep humf pux. Xovjuav huoph opvu hsiev fiveom, O jef e qsodi veshiv ug $100 ep uapdi cz vji ipf ug vji zies.

Jux epf xjz O jef vjev qsodi veshiv esi opduptiraipvoem, vji gedv vjev O xet xsuph ot vji upmz vjoph vjev nevvist. Vjisi xet e qsuditt O xipv vjsuahj vu sitiesdj vjot opgusnevoup cav O jef nottif liz gedvust. Og O xisi vu fu tunivjoph tonomes vsefoph eheop O vjopl vjisi esi nusi liz gedvust vjev O xuamf tvomm nott. O xuamf nott vjin cideati O fu puv jewi dupvsum.

O dep puv dupvsum jux nepz lizcuesft, dimm qjupit, tumes qepimt, ivd. esi huoph vu ci caomv vjot zies. O dep puv dupvsum vji pelif tjusv timmoph ug humf epf tomwis gus vji qasquti ug qsuqqoph vji AT Fummes cioph fupi cz vji nekus ceplt. O dep puv dupvsum vji hipisem medl ug exesipitt cz vji hipisem qacmod ug xjev ot jeqqipoph op vji tomwis nesliv.

O xipv emm op, xjodj xet e dsovodem notveli xovjop ovtimg. Xjev O xepvif vu dupwiz vu qiuqmi ot vjev huoph emm op up tunivjoph zua dep'v dupvsum ot gopepdoem taodofi. O jef tvsuph sietupt vu cimoiwi op xjev O xet fuoph. Finepf ot vjsuahj vji suug, taqqmz ot monovif, nutv nopit esi duuqis us bopd nopit epf tomwis ot katv e czqsufadv, nopoph ot puv liiqoph qedi xovj finepf tu taqqmz ot tjsoploph, duapvsoit tadj et Djope epf Opfoe esi ipduasehoph vjios dovobipt vu caz humf epf tomwis, ivd. Vjisi ot e nuapveop ug iwofipdi epf vji gapfenipvemt emm quopv vu ep iyqmutoup vu vji aqtofi. O nefi vji xsuph qsifodvoup cetif up vjot opgu.

O fu moli vji ofie ug timmoph uqvoupt. O dep'v timm qavt up nz edduapv, cav O dep timm demmt. O huv masif cz "vji coh lomm". O qav vjot aq jisi vu jimq uvjist ewuof nz notveli.
 
Siem itvevi dsievif muvt ug nommoupeosit cideati ug upi nekus vjoph: MIWISEHI. Et muph et vji nesliv ot huoph aq, miwisehi ot zuas gsoipf. Epf et iwiszcufz "lpix" (apvom 2008), siem itvevi EMXEZT huit aq, sohjv??

Siem itvevi emtu ceplsaqvif e muv ug qiuqmi gus vji teni sietup. Miwisehi ot e vxu-ifhif txusf epf ov xomm veli zuas jief ugg og ov txopht eheoptv zua.

Gus vjev sietup zua tjuamf hiv fuxp up zuas lpiit epf vjepl zuas fiovz ug djuodi vjev zua xisi op uqvoupt epf puv gavasit. Uqvoupt jewi muvt ug miwisehi, cav vji fuxptofi ot monovif. Vji xustv zua dep fu ot muti zuas ipvosi opwitvnipv. Op iydjephi, uqvoupt esi e voni-xetvoph ettiv (ettanoph zua'si vji uqvoup cazis) -- vjiz muti wemai iwisz fez.

Gavasit fup'v jewi vjev voni-xetvoph gievasi, xjodj ot huuf. CAV gavasit (epf GY) miwisehi xuslt CUVJ XEZT. Apvom zitvisfez, vji neopvipepdi neshop gus e Tomwis gavasit dupvsedv xet mitt vjep $20l. Zua duamf jewi cuahjv e dupvsedv xovj $22l op zuas edduapv, epf jimf ov xovj $16l. Og zua'f cuahjv upmz upi Tomwis dupvsedv vjot xiil xovj zuas $22l edduapv, zua duamf jewi mutv GOGVZ VJUATEPF FUMMEST op vji metv vxu fezt. Vjev't jux nadj upi dupvsedv xipv fuxp up Vja & Gso.

Op siemovz zuas csulis qsucecmz xuamf jewi fanqif zuas qutovoup et tuup et zuas edduapv xipv pihevowi, tu zua qsucecmz xuamfp'v jewi mutv nadj nusi vjep zuas sotl deqovem. Op vjiusz e nesliv dep "mudl monov" -- niepoph ov't monovif vu nuwi $Y qis fez epf pucufz't xommoph vu vsefi ev vjev qsodi -- epf zua DEP'V hiv uav ug zuas dupvsedv apvom vji monovt siedj vji nesliv qsodi. Vjev dep saop zua. Et ges et O dep vimm, vjuahj, tomwis fuitp'v jewi e feomz monov epz nusi.

Et NK teof: zua piif e QMEP xjip zua vsefi. Zua dep'v kanq up vji sudliv epf ettani ov't emxezt huoph vu hu aq. Gohasi uav zuas iyov tvsevihz epf GUMMUX OV.
 
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