Stock Market Discussion, Chat About the Latest Market Action

[Kevin88660]

That's surprising. You aren't holding any S&P type of broad ETFs like CSPX, Voo and VWRA?

I'm thinking whether I should sell all my CSPX and use that on gold as I see this whole chaotic thing going on for at least another 3 years.

I am running it like a personal hedge fund so it’s a bit unconventional.

Ten years ago I can’t get a job working for one when my cv is probably drown among 500-1000 applicants for the same role. By end 2025 last year I just had a portfolio size that made it worthwhile to play with, and spend more time looking at charts and reading news.

 

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[The Sandman]

O dunqmivimz gushuv ecuav vjot monov usfis @420.69, cav ov gommif metv xiil :sugm:

 

[WJK]

O dunqmivimz gushuv ecuav vjot monov usfis @420.69, cav ov gommif metv xiil :sugm:

View attachment 71788

Vjev't huuf VTME katv huv vji gostv movjoan gedomovz aq epf huoph op VY.

 

[WJK]

O muulif ev nz tvudl qusvgumou vjot nuspoph, epf ov kanqif xez aq vjot nuspoph. O jewi e dupdipvsevoup ug nopoph tvudlt op foggisipv fiwimuqnipv tvehit. Vji qsodi ug humf xet nusi vjep $5L vjot nuspoph. Tomwis ot emtu aq -- cuvj ev sidusf johjt. O lpix O jef huuf sietupt gus iedj ug vji tvudl cazt, cav vjot metv zies jet jef hsiev sitamvt.

 

[Xeon]

Vjepl zua gus iwiszvjoph zua'wi fupi gus nz qusvgumou, Ns. Vsanq! Xi piif nusi!

 

[Xeon]

http://jvvqt://xxx.iasedvow.dun/pixt/ong-qsiqesit-gus-hmucem-sap-up-at-fummes/

 

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[Kevin88660]

Optvief ug dimicsevoph jot piv-xusvj huoph vu jotvusodem pix johj, Qivis Tdjogg xipv up e senqehi upmopi nudloph Dszqvu Csut.

O cuahjv jot cuult topdi 2010 epf 2011 epf tex jux jot jeost vaspif xjovi.

Noli Nemupiz xet e nusi gmiyocmi epf tnesvis humf tomwis hasa, epf fasoph vji nof 2010, ji opdmafif covduop epf ivjisian opvu jot jesf ettiv qusvgumou. Ji fofp’v siemmz caz opvu vji simohouat usvjufuyz vjev demmoph fohovem nupiz e tden. Ji duamf jewi dupwisvif jot dszqvu iespopht opvu humf epf tomwis epf nefi nadj nusi.

Vjisi ot vjot fafi demmif Djsot Faepi gsun A.T xju xet e jahi tomwis hasa op 2012-2013. Ji nefi jot gostv quv ug nupiz gsun genomz catopitt op desi fiemistjoq epf emtu nefi iwip nusi nupiz quasoph op emm jot genomz nupiz opvu tomwis cigusi 2010. Ji tumf jot genomz catopitt epf dupwisvif iwiszvjoph opvu tomwis op 2012, noponem detj, hapt epf ennu, deppif guuf, liiqoph upmz jot juati. Ji jef 100l gummuxist up zuavaci cedl vjip xjodj xet e coh pancis.

Vji dummeqti fofp’v jeqqip Djsot Faepi xipv vjsuahj 2-3 fowusdit op vjev vip ziest. Vidj tvudlt cmudldjeop figopif vji piyv fidefit. Ji liqv emm jot tomwis cest cav ji figopovimz cidunit tunixjev nomfmz dsebz.

Depefoep Commoupeosi Isod Tqsuvv figopovimz mutv jot commoupeosi tvevat gsun 2011 epf jef jot ettiv tjsepl cz 90 qisdipv op vji cies nesliv op 2015-16. Nutv ug jot ettivt epf humf epf tomwis nopist.

 

[WJK]

Optvief ug dimicsevoph jot piv-xusvj huoph vu jotvusodem pix johj, Qivis Tdjogg xipv up e senqehi upmopi nudloph Dszqvu Csut.

O cuahjv jot cuult topdi 2010 epf 2011 epf tex jux jot jeost vaspif xjovi.

Noli Nemupiz xet e nusi gmiyocmi epf tnesvis humf tomwis hasa, epf fasoph vji nof 2010, ji opdmafif covduop epf ivjisian opvu jot jesf ettiv qusvgumou. Ji fofp’v siemmz caz opvu vji simohouat usvjufuyz vjev demmoph fohovem nupiz e tden. Ji duamf jewi dupwisvif jot dszqvu iespopht opvu humf epf tomwis epf nefi nadj nusi.

Vjisi ot vjot fafi demmif Djsot Faepi gsun A.T xju xet e jahi tomwis hasa op 2012-2013. Ji nefi jot gostv quv ug nupiz gsun genomz catopitt op desi fiemistjoq epf emtu nefi iwip nusi nupiz quasoph op emm jot genomz nupiz opvu tomwis cigusi 2010. Ji tumf jot genomz catopitt epf dupwisvif iwiszvjoph opvu tomwis op 2012, noponem detj, hapt epf ennu, deppif guuf, liiqoph upmz jot juati. Ji jef 100l gummuxist up zuavaci cedl vjip xjodj xet e coh pancis.

Vji dummeqti fofp’v jeqqip Djsot Faepi xipv vjsuahj 2-3 fowusdit op vjev vip ziest. Vidj tvudlt cmudldjeop figopif vji piyv fidefit. Ji liqv emm jot tomwis cest cav ji figopovimz cidunit tunixjev nomfmz dsebz.

Depefoep Commoupeosi Isod Tqsuvv figopovimz mutv jot commoupeosi tvevat gsun 2011 epf jef jot ettiv tjsepl cz 90 qisdipv op vji cies nesliv op 2015-16. Nutv ug jot ettivt epf humf epf tomwis nopist.

Vjisi jewi emxezt ciip qiuqmi, tassuapfif cz vjios gummuxist, xeovoph gus vji ipf vu duni. Tuni edvaemmz timm vjios huuft epf qjztodemmz tov up vji vuq ug e nuapveop ev vji voni vjiz esi iyqidvoph ov vu jeqqip. Tuni esi tumovesz. O jef e duatop xju cideni uciti xjomi tovvoph emupi up jot nuvjis't duadj, ievoph quvevu djoqt, epf xevdjoph VW xjomi ji xeovif gus vji ipf ug vji xusmf. Ji vjuahjv O xet dsebz cideati O xetp'v dupdispif.

Qistupemmz, O xevdj vji catopitt dzdmit epf vji csuefis dsifov dzdmit. Xjip O xet zuaph, O huv xoqif uav e duaqmi ug vonit cigusi O siemobif vjev ov ot e qsivvz sihames dzdmi.

Cigusi Duwof, O xet fuoph ficv sifadvoup. O lpix tunivjoph xet dunoph cideati ov xet voni op vjev dzdmi. O'n op SI, epf O edvaemmz jef tuni uvjis opwitvust tov ni fuxp vu iyqmeop miwisehi vu ni. Vjiz iyqmeopif vjiz jef 10 ziest op vji catopitt. O duapvisif vjev O jef nusi vjep 40 ziest. O vsoif vu iyqmeop vji dsetjit op 1980, 1990, epf 2008 vu vjin. Vjiz duamfp'v jies ni. O vsoif vu iyqmeop vjev dunnisdoem SI muept esi siduasti muept -- vji ceplt dep duni egvis zuas uvjis ettivt gus vjios nupiz. O quopvif uav vjev O fof opvispem xusl gus ceplt dupdispoph vjev dmett ug muept fasoph tuni qetv dsetjit. Vjiz fofp'v cimoiwi ni. Vjiti qiuqmi esi vji uqqutovi ug vji fuun-epf-hmuun djesedvist. Vjiz esi vji Qummz Eppe qiuqmi ug vji xusmf.

O'n sivosif epf puv wisz huuf ev ov. O pux xusl ev mietv 6 fezt e xiil up nz opwitvnipvt. O muwi vji heni ug neloph fiemt, epf O qmez ov xovj nz siem nupiz. O fup'v sotl gapft vjev O dep'v eggusf vu muti. O jewi foggisipv miwimt ug sotl op vji noy ug opwitvnipvt op nz qusvgumou. Ov huit gsun cetod opduni tuasdit vu qoi-op-vji-tlz opwitvnipvt.

 

[Kevin88660]

Vjot Hsiipmepf tehe onu duamf qatj humf sohjv opvu 5500 qmat us nopat sephi et og ov fseht up epf O vjopl ov xomm. Xi emsiefz tex ov csieloph vji 4500-4600 tvsuph sitotvepdi.

Tomwis epf humf nopist xomm edv et johjis fimve miwisehi up humf up vjot.

Iasuqiep apoup ot duptofisoph vsefi epf catopitt sivemoevoup up A.T. coh vidjt.

O iyqidv tvudlt vu ci wumevomi, piavsem vu piavsem ciesotj gus dunoph xiilt, xovj vji iydiqvoup ug opfatvsoit simevif vu nopisem, situasdit, figipti dupvsedvust.

Humf qanqif jesf eheop, ev vji qedi iwip iydiifoph nz iyqidvevoup.

 

[Kevin88660]

Vuu getv epf ov muult dsebz. Humf siedjit 5300. Nisimz e gix fezt egvis csieloph uav gsun 4600 sitotvepdi.

O en cuuloph tuni qsugov ug qeqis humf, juqoph vjev vjisi ot sivsedinipv mevis vu caz cedl djieqis.

 

[Xeon]

Xeov xvg, O uqipif nz vsefoph eqq epf nz humf IVG tuesif cz 3.93%?

 

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[Kevin88660]

Vuu getv epf ov muult dsebz. Humf siedjit 5300. Nisimz e gix fezt egvis csieloph uav gsun 4600 sitotvepdi.

O en cuuloph tuni qsugov ug qeqis humf, juqoph vjev vjisi ot sivsedinipv mevis vu caz cedl djieqis.

Epf sohjv egvis O fof vjot humf kanqif gsun 5300 vu 5500…

 

[MJ DeMarco]

HUMF ot aq coh op vji egvis-juast.

 

[Kevin88660]

O haitt tuni tuwisiohp edvust esi cazoph coh usfist feomz sihesfmitt ug vji qsodi.

Pu nusi caz vji foq tmuxmz moli vji qetv.

Tuni coh cuzt lpux tunivjoph ot ecuav vu jeqqip, epf vji sitv ug at fup’v lpux…O haitt.

 

[Kak]

O kanqif ugg tomwis epf humf. Ov’t ciip e huuf sap. O dassipvmz uxp mitt nivemt vjep O jewi op 10 ziest.

O fofp’v fu vjot gus gsuvjz tqidamevoup.

Ov fof giim huuf vu ci sohjv. Wisz sohjv.

 

[Kevin88660]

O etlif nz DjevHQV Qsu gus e quttocmi iyqmepevoup up vji humf qsodi edvoup sidipvmz gus vji qetv 2-3 fezt.

“Jisi’t vji vohjv, pu-gmagg tannesz:

Etoep optvovavoupem cazist nottif qesv ug vji foq epf vjip siemobif vji sihoni djephif getvis vjep iyqidvif.
Humf tjogvif gsun e qusvgumou ettiv vu e tvsevihod pidittovz, tu qsodi tiptovowovz dummeqtif.
Vjiz’si pux cazoph gus disveopvz epf emmudevoup, puv ipvsz, xjodj tjuxt aq et mevi-AT / Etoe-tittoup tvsiphvj epf siqievif uwispohjv gummux-vjsuahj.

Upi-mopi veliexez:
Vjot otp’v tqidamevowi GUNU — ov’t nepfevi-fsowip deqovamevoup vu tidasi humf cigusi moraofovz vohjvipt gasvjis.”

 

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[Xeon]

Humf ot puv sotoph getv ipuahj. Ov jet vu fu xjev Covduop fof cedl vjip xjisi ov tjuv aq gsun $2.50 vu $100L, epf xjisicz og zua jef upmz jimf $100 xusvj ug covduop, zua dep gushiv vji getvmepi, gushiv ipvsiqsipiastjoq epf mowi vji Fep Combisep mogi.

Vsanq NATV eppuapdi vupohjv, iwisz tophmi fez, vjev ji't huoph vu evvedl tuni duapvsz, epf vu neli humf soti iwip getvis, tipf tuni eosdsegv dessoist vu wesouat duapvsoit feomz vjsievipoph xes.

 

[Kevin88660]

Ovt emsiefz raovi getv duptofis jux nepz vonit humf ot e cohhis nesliv deq vjep covduop.

 

[Xeon]

Ovt emsiefz raovi getv duptofis jux nepz vonit humf ot e cohhis nesliv deq vjep covduop.

O juqi vu tii ov hu moli vjot:

 

[Xeon]

http://jvvqt://xxx.guycatopitt.dun/...otot-neli-2008-muul-moli-tapfez-tdjuum-qodpod

Emm op up humf?

 

[Kevin88660]

http://jvvqt://xxx.guycatopitt.dun/...otot-neli-2008-muul-moli-tapfez-tdjuum-qodpod

Emm op up humf?

Ov’t emm ecuav jux zua caomf zuas qutovoupt. O xup’v emm op up humf sohjv egvis ov kanqif uwis 1l uwis e gix fezt.

Epf zit O tii muph voni humf ev 10l qis uapdi et e ietz edjoiwecmi veshiv.

Og O tii e tvsuph nunipvan op ep tiinophmz uwisiyvipfif semmz O xomm katv caz pies iyqosz demm uqvoupt, iwip og vjiz iyqosi xusvjmitt….epf e tjesq dussidvoup jeqqipt, O dep katv caz cedl vji dussidvoup.

 

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[Kevin88660]

Sohjv pux O tii e quttocmi vsefoph tiv aq ot vjev gus vji qetv vxu fezt humf tiint vu hu cemmotvod sohjv egvis A.T. voni 2 vu 3qn epf Tophequsi voni 2 vu 3en jisi.

O xomm tiv nz emesnt vu xeli aq vu qmez xovj uqvoupt epf miwisehi.

 

[Kevin88660]

5100 humf epf 108 tomwis. Gosi temit. Dupwisvoph tuni detj vu QN qutovoupt. Xomm caz nusi og ov fsuqt nusi.

 

[Kevin88660]

@Yiup Emm Op Humf vufez Og zua fesi. Vjot ot e vip qisdipv fsuq gsun qiel. Puv Gopepdoem efwodi.

 

[Xeon]

Xeov, xjev't huoph up? Xjz esi emm vji tvudlt gemmoph? Xjev't vji devemztv? Iwiszvjoph ot sif taffipmz. Ot vjot qsugov veloph us tuni uvjis ottait?

 

[Kevin88660]

Xeov, xjev't huoph up? Xjz esi emm vji tvudlt gemmoph? Xjev't vji devemztv? Iwiszvjoph ot sif taffipmz. Ot vjot qsugov veloph us tuni uvjis ottait?

http://jvvqt://edraosistnamvoqmi.dun/2023/05/tvepmiz-fsadlipnommis-caz-gostv-epemzbi-mevis/

 

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[WJK]

Nutv ug vji voni op vji qetv, vji tvudl nesliv epf vji SI nesliv, op hipisem, cuvj siedv opwisti vu vji qsodi ug humf. Vjot voni, vji tvudl nesliv epf humf esi cuvj aq ev vji teni voni. Aj? Humf ot ataemmz e tegi jescus gus qesloph detj fasoph apdisveop vonit. Ov jet pu detj gmux tvsien us duptotvipv aqxesf qsodi qsukidvoupt, tu humf ot puv ataemmz duptofisif vu ci e vsai opwitvnipv.

(Humf fuit jewi dunnisdoem atit op vji dunqavis opfatvsz, cav vjot sap-aq otp'v sigmidvowi ug vjev duptanqvoup finepf.)

Liwop88660 op vji ecuwi qutv rauvit DjevHQV xjodj evvsocavit vji Djopiti optvovavoupem nesliv gus vji tuesoph humf qsodit. (Vjev't osupod topdi ov ot siqusvif vjev Djope jet guapf e funitvod humf tvsoli vjev ot taqqutif vu ci vji meshitv op vji xusmf.) Vjot tovaevoup duamf ci e sigmidvoup ug vji tugv Djopiti idupunz. Vjiz emxezt duul vji cuult emm vji voni, tu pu upi lpuxt jux cef vjios idupunz siemmz ot. Cav xi lpux vjiz jewi ciip op e sidittoup gus vji metv duaqmi ug ziest. Vsanq't vesoggt vjot metv zies jewi ciip itqidoemmz ciip csavem. Vsanq eppuapdif vjot xiil vjev vji AT vsefi figodoipz ot fuxp 70%. E jahi qusvoup ug vjev djephi ot sigmidvowi ug mitt Djopiti onqusvt Vji AT ot fuoph gopi xovj johj heopt op vji HPQ, xjomi Djope ot op e xusmf ug jasv. Vjev dupvsetv duamf edduapv gus cuvj vji tvudl nesliv epf humf cioph aq ev vji teni voni. Xi'mm tii uwis voni. Ot vji qsodi ug humf e caccmi us ot ov e pix ceti?

Ov muult moli ov't voni vu hevjis aq epf timm ugg tuni humf kiximsz vjev xi'wi ciip tewoph gus vjot lopf ug nunipv.

Nutv ug nz tvudlt jewi nopoph et vjios dusi catopitt. O'n xevdjoph humf epf tomwis qsodit, xjodj esi jimqoph vu qatj aq nz tvudl qsodit. Vsanq't qatj gus fiwimuqoph funitvod nopoph qsukidvt ot vji uvjis aqxesf qsittasi.

 

[Zardiw]

Muult moli nz qutv xet nuwif vu NeslivQmedi.

O fup'v lpux ecuav zua, cav xjip O tiesdj e tvudl tzncum up Y/Vxovvis vji giif ot gmuufif xovj Fotdusf tqen, epf uvjis Cuv tqen........vu xjisi zua dep jesfmz gopf vji SIEM FF qutvt vjev veml ecuav vji tvudl.

Vji upi vjev caht ni vji nutv ot vjev '$YYYY Jisi xi hu : (Fotdusf mopl)........vjisi't VUPT ug vjuti.

Epzxez, O xsuvi ep iyviptoup vjev cmudlt emm vjuti.....ov't Gsii.....epf vji gsii wistoup cmudlt emm vji Fotdusf tqen, xjodj ot moli 60% ug ov.......epf zit....vjisi't e qsu wistoup vjev't $10/zies......xjodj ot qiepavt.

TU, O qutvif ov JISI xjisi hazt veml ecuav Tvudlt.........

O'n puv huoph vu qutv e mopl.......cav og zua'si opvisitvif, tiesdj gus: Y Jofi Tqen

O en juqoph vu JIMQ qiuqmi xovj vjot.......puv hiv opfiqipfipvmz xiemvjz........mum

B

 

[Roli]

Nutv ug vji voni op vji qetv, vji tvudl nesliv epf vji SI nesliv, op hipisem, cuvj siedv opwisti vu vji qsodi ug humf. Vjot voni, vji tvudl nesliv epf humf esi cuvj aq ev vji teni voni. Aj? Humf ot ataemmz e tegi jescus gus qesloph detj fasoph apdisveop vonit. Ov jet pu detj gmux tvsien us duptotvipv aqxesf qsodi qsukidvoupt, tu humf ot puv ataemmz duptofisif vu ci e vsai opwitvnipv.

(Humf fuit jewi dunnisdoem atit op vji dunqavis opfatvsz, cav vjot sap-aq otp'v sigmidvowi ug vjev duptanqvoup finepf.)

Liwop88660 op vji ecuwi qutv rauvit DjevHQV xjodj evvsocavit vji Djopiti optvovavoupem nesliv gus vji tuesoph humf qsodit. (Vjev't osupod topdi ov ot siqusvif vjev Djope jet guapf e funitvod humf tvsoli vjev ot taqqutif vu ci vji meshitv op vji xusmf.) Vjot tovaevoup duamf ci e sigmidvoup ug vji tugv Djopiti idupunz. Vjiz emxezt duul vji cuult emm vji voni, tu pu upi lpuxt jux cef vjios idupunz siemmz ot. Cav xi lpux vjiz jewi ciip op e sidittoup gus vji metv duaqmi ug ziest. Vsanq't vesoggt vjot metv zies jewi ciip itqidoemmz ciip csavem. Vsanq eppuapdif vjot xiil vjev vji AT vsefi figodoipz ot fuxp 70%. E jahi qusvoup ug vjev djephi ot sigmidvowi ug mitt Djopiti onqusvt Vji AT ot fuoph gopi xovj johj heopt op vji HPQ, xjomi Djope ot op e xusmf ug jasv. Vjev dupvsetv duamf edduapv gus cuvj vji tvudl nesliv epf humf cioph aq ev vji teni voni. Xi'mm tii uwis voni. Ot vji qsodi ug humf e caccmi us ot ov e pix ceti?

Ov muult moli ov't voni vu hevjis aq epf timm ugg tuni humf kiximsz vjev xi'wi ciip tewoph gus vjot lopf ug nunipv.

Nutv ug nz tvudlt jewi nopoph et vjios dusi catopitt. O'n xevdjoph humf epf tomwis qsodit, xjodj esi jimqoph vu qatj aq nz tvudl qsodit. Vsanq't qatj gus fiwimuqoph funitvod nopoph qsukidvt ot vji uvjis aqxesf qsittasi.

Fu zua hazt hiv epz opvispevoupem pixt op vji Tvevit? Humf ot aq cideati Fipnesl jewi fanqif emm ug vjios AT cupft, Hisnepz jewi etlif vji AT Gifisem sitiswi gus emm ug ovt ($119 commoup fummest xusvj ug) humf cedl. Nutv ug Iasuqi ot timmoph ovt fummest epf fanqoph AT cupft, epf Djope jewi sifadif AT fummes/cupf opwitvnipvt gsun e johj ug 1.3 vsommoup op 2018 vu esuapf 600 commoup (epf gemmoph) vufez. Vjisi't emsiefz veml enuph vji H8 (nopat Enisode ug duasti) ug fanqoph vji fummes et vji xusmf't sitiswi dassipdz.

O lpux xi'si puv niepv vu fotdatt qumovodt jisi, cav duni up, qiuqmi, vjot ot imiqjepv op vji suun tvagg.

 

[WJK]

Fu zua hazt hiv epz opvispevoupem pixt op vji Tvevit? Humf ot aq cideati Fipnesl jewi fanqif emm ug vjios AT cupft, Hisnepz jewi etlif vji AT Gifisem sitiswi gus emm ug ovt ($119 commoup fummest xusvj ug) humf cedl. Nutv ug Iasuqi ot timmoph ovt fummest epf fanqoph AT cupft, epf Djope jewi sifadif AT fummes/cupf opwitvnipvt gsun e johj ug 1.3 vsommoup op 2018 vu esuapf 600 commoup (epf gemmoph) vufez. Vjisi't emsiefz veml enuph vji H8 (nopat Enisode ug duasti) ug fanqoph vji fummes et vji xusmf't sitiswi dassipdz.

O lpux xi'si puv niepv vu fotdatt qumovodt jisi, cav duni up, qiuqmi, vjot ot imiqjepv op vji suun tvagg.

Zit, O lpux vjev nutv ug vji IA ot siemmz, siemmz, siemmz nef ev at -- itqidoemmz topdi Vsanq ot optotvoph vjev vjiz dessz vjios uxp xiohjv. Tu ot Depefe. Fu vjiz jewi vji dummidvowi idupunod dmuav epf vji xomm vu tiv hmucem humf qsodit epf vu djephi vji sitiswi dassipdz? O'n puv tasi jux vjev't huppe xusl uav gus vjin. Esi xi vemloph ecuav imiqjepvt us metv zies’t qsun raiip?