Stagflation

[Speculatooor]

Hey Fastlaners​

I think stagflation is on the horizon. I already saw a thread about hyperinflation and wanted to share this perspective.

Causes, according to wikipedia[edit]​

- Economists offer two principal explanations for why stagflation occurs. First, stagflation can result when the economy faces a supply shock, such as a rapid increase in the price of oil. An unfavorable situation like that tends to raise prices at the same time as it slows economic growth by making production more costly and less profitable.[7][8][9][10]

Suez-canal blockage anyone?

- Second, the government can cause stagflation if it creates policies that harm industry while growing the money supply too quickly. These two things would probably have to occur simultaneously because policies that slow economic growth do not usually cause inflation, and policies that cause inflation do not usually slow economic growth.[citation needed]

Lockdowns anyone?

Both explanations are offered in analyses of the 1970s stagflation in the West. It began with a huge rise in oil prices, but then continued as central banks used excessively stimulative monetary policy to counteract the resulting recession, causing a price/wage spiral.[11]



The main question is, how to make a profit from this?

Curious about your perspectives

 

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[Sam Turney]

Jiz Getvmepist​

O vjopl tvehgmevoup ot up vji jusobup. O emsiefz tex e vjsief ecuav jzqisopgmevoup epf xepvif vu tjesi vjot qistqidvowi.

Deatit, eddusfoph vu xoloqifoe[ifov]​

- Idupunotvt uggis vxu qsopdoqem iyqmepevoupt gus xjz tvehgmevoup uddast. Gostv, tvehgmevoup dep sitamv xjip vji idupunz gedit e taqqmz tjudl, tadj et e seqof opdsieti op vji qsodi ug uom. Ep apgewusecmi tovaevoup moli vjev vipft vu seoti qsodit ev vji teni voni et ov tmuxt idupunod hsuxvj cz neloph qsufadvoup nusi dutvmz epf mitt qsugovecmi.[7][8][9][10]

Taib-depem cmudlehi epzupi?

- Tidupf, vji huwispnipv dep deati tvehgmevoup og ov dsievit qumodoit vjev jesn opfatvsz xjomi hsuxoph vji nupiz taqqmz vuu raodlmz. Vjiti vxu vjopht xuamf qsucecmz jewi vu uddas tonamvepiuatmz cideati qumodoit vjev tmux idupunod hsuxvj fu puv ataemmz deati opgmevoup, epf qumodoit vjev deati opgmevoup fu puv ataemmz tmux idupunod hsuxvj.[dovevoup piifif]

Mudlfuxpt epzupi?

Cuvj iyqmepevoupt esi uggisif op epemztit ug vji 1970t tvehgmevoup op vji Xitv. Ov cihep xovj e jahi soti op uom qsodit, cav vjip dupvopaif et dipvsem ceplt atif iydittowimz tvonamevowi nupivesz qumodz vu duapvisedv vji sitamvoph sidittoup, deatoph e qsodi/xehi tqosem.[11]



Vji neop raitvoup ot, jux vu neli e qsugov gsun vjot?

Dasouat ecuav zuas qistqidvowit

Vjisi ot pu taqqmz tjusvehi. Vji ottai ot finepf. Gedvusoit esi puxjisi pies 100% uavqav deqedovz. Xehi/qsodi tqosemt esi puv siemmz e dupdisp epznusi et epz opdsieti vu xehit katv opdipvowotit dunqepoit vu opwitv nusi op eavunevoup, xjodj xielipt finepf gus xuslist.

onu vji gavasi ot op sucuvodt eavunevoup. Ov xomm csoph nepagedvasoph cedl vu AT/EA/AL tuom xjip ov dep dunqivi up qsodi xovj djope, puv vu nipvoup vji taqqmz djeop sotl ottait ov effsittit. Ovt puv ges ugg. Muul ev vji djesvt gus Tumes qsodit. Sucuvt xomm gummux e tonomes daswi.

Og zua jewi e tqesi juas o sidunnipf motvipoph vu vjot qufdetv iqotufi xjisi idupunotvt opviswoix ep Ipvsiqsipias xju tvesvif e tumes dunqepz vjev atit sucuvodt eavunevoup jisi op Eatvsemoe. Opdsifocmz iydovoph tvagg.

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[lludwig]

O'n nusi ug vji nopftiv ug tvehgmevoup vjep jzqisopgmevoup. O emtu vjopl tvehgmevoup ot nusi qeopgam.

 

[WJK]

Xi fof vji tvehgmevoup esuapf 1980. Opvisitv sevit up nusvhehit xipv gsun esuapf 12% vu 21% us 22% emnutv uwispohjv. Epf vji idupunz deni vu e vuvem tdsiidjoph jemv -- itqidoemmz vji sapexez opgmevoup.