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  1. GIlman

    Podcast to figure out this coronavirus thing.

    HOT! 
    Thanks, it appears right now it’s just a generic RSS feed link. Still waiting for approval from iTunes, then I can add an iTunes link. Still figuring this all out, nice to have another project rabbit hole to occupy my time. Just released another episode. Planning to do a guest with @Creed...
  2. GIlman

    The Worldwide C0VlD-19 Coronavirus Pandemic Discussion Thread...

    HOT! 
    Yeah, this it's actually somewhat misleading how the symptoms have been classified, at least how the news is portraying it. The mild, severe, critical designations are from a report by the Chinese CDC that was released at the very end of February about their experience. The classifications...
  3. GIlman

    Podcast to figure out this coronavirus thing.

    HOT! 
    i am still figuring out the mixing board. Honestly this is totally new stuff to me so having to learn on the fly
  4. GIlman

    Podcast to figure out this coronavirus thing.

    HOT! 
    Happy too. Just need someone that is into that and believes it to come on. That’s not my wheelhouse.
  5. GIlman

    Podcast to figure out this coronavirus thing.

    HOT! 
    mill probably put on episode 1. Jackie was a little drunkish when we did it and didn’t know if she wanted to post it. I’ll listen to the whole thing. There was some good stuff in that one.
  6. GIlman

    The Worldwide C0VlD-19 Coronavirus Pandemic Discussion Thread...

    HOT! 
    The interesting thing is that I’m sure private aviation will still be running. It’s more equivalent to being in a private car, so no reason to shut it down. if the do halt all travel, which I think is likely, the value of having a plane and license will suddenly take on new value.
  7. GIlman

    Podcast to figure out this coronavirus thing.

    HOT! 
    Ok, got our first episode up. Check it out, let me know what you think. http://podcast.gilmanwolsey.com
  8. GIlman

    The Worldwide C0VlD-19 Coronavirus Pandemic Discussion Thread...

    HOT! 
    Look back on post #1119, so far I have been pretty spot on with what I thought would happen, this was exactly the point I made back then where I though this all was going to go...
  9. GIlman

    The Worldwide C0VlD-19 Coronavirus Pandemic Discussion Thread...

    HOT! 
    Actually, since medications were brought up. I want to mention that Aspirin should not be used in children our young adults, especially if they have a viral infection. there is a very serious condition called Reye’s Syndrome that causes swelling of the liver and brain resulting in severe...
  10. GIlman

    The Worldwide C0VlD-19 Coronavirus Pandemic Discussion Thread...

    HOT! 
    It gets back to R0 that we have talked about in past posts. We can figure out very roughly what it will take for the pandemic to wind down. Remember for the pandemic to drop off R0 needs to be less that 1. R0 is thought to be around 2.3 - 3.4ish depending on lots of factors like how dense the...
  11. GIlman

    The Worldwide C0VlD-19 Coronavirus Pandemic Discussion Thread...

    HOT! 
    I think we know what’s coming, it’s not hard to figure it out. Just look what other counties have been doing. Italy - full scale lockdown France - full scale lockdown Spain - I believe in full scale lock down or close to it Poland - sounds like the are there or moving towards it fast. We are...
  12. GIlman

    The Worldwide C0VlD-19 Coronavirus Pandemic Discussion Thread...

    HOT! 
    Well in principal what you are saying should normally be true. The problem is the US has 2 beds per 1000 population based on numbers I’ve seen. If 20% of the population that gets CV require hospital care....well do you see the problem there. We have a total of 100,000 nationwide ICU beds, and...
  13. GIlman

    The Worldwide C0VlD-19 Coronavirus Pandemic Discussion Thread...

    HOT! 
    agree with u on that. I lean republican but call out bullshit on either side. I think the thing is fox and trump mold one perspective. CNN, abc, and msnbc form the other. Not sure how to meet in the middle.
  14. GIlman

    The Worldwide C0VlD-19 Coronavirus Pandemic Discussion Thread...

    HOT! 
    I agree with you in large part. But things are not static and the perspective and outlook reasonably changed for everyone over time based on how things turn. I don’t think it’s ever fair to apply hindsight bias (i.e. using what we Know today to interpret decisions or statements in the past...
  15. GIlman

    The Worldwide C0VlD-19 Coronavirus Pandemic Discussion Thread...

    HOT! 
    based on your post it wasn’t clear what your specific concerns were. as far as your kids, statistically children under 10 have not been affected. your parents, depends on their age. Under 50 very low. 50-60 still low but more than less than 50. Over 60 the risk goes up but worse > 70. as far...
  16. GIlman

    The Worldwide C0VlD-19 Coronavirus Pandemic Discussion Thread...

    HOT! 
    This is a good example, but let me provide a revised model, to show the effect of reducing susceptible individuals from the pool. I will only extrapolate our so far to keep the model simple. say we have a board with 10 pennies ok it. Each day we pick two random positions on the board without...
  17. GIlman

    The Worldwide C0VlD-19 Coronavirus Pandemic Discussion Thread...

    HOT! 
    No worries man, I likely read aggression into your replies that wasn’t implied. Sorry if I overreacted to your reply. honestly I kinda hate written communication, because there is no tone and it’s super prone to over interpretation. That why I have been wanting to do a podcast.
  18. GIlman

    The Worldwide C0VlD-19 Coronavirus Pandemic Discussion Thread...

    HOT! 
    I don’t follow sports, based on what you say, then yes there has been some examples of prioritization. I stand corrected. You didn’t read what I wrote. As far as the patient testing positive (vs not having being tested at all), it does not impact their individual outcome. As I said the...
  19. GIlman

    Ferraris & Lamborghinis are for broke people

    MINDSET 
    Living with spite of anyone else for what they have is stupid, regardless of how much money you and them have. Spite and jealousy are the most useless emotions in the world. Replace spite and jealousy with goals and aspirations. Those are actually useful.
  20. GIlman

    The Worldwide C0VlD-19 Coronavirus Pandemic Discussion Thread...

    HOT! 
    Infections are certainly orders of magnitude more than reported. The realities of testing is that there are virtually no tests available or being done at the moment. But we are seeing a significant ramp up which should be available in increasing numbers over the next few weeks. I only started...
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