MrPink
Contributor
Once it mutates (it will), it will be very deadly.
Why/How do you know this?
Thanks.
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Free registration at the forum removes this block.Once it mutates (it will), it will be very deadly.
That's because this particular strain is inefficient-- doesn't have a good binding protein, so it's not very strong (again, read the links).
Flu viruses are known for their ability to mutate (again, the links I provide in this thread discuss this).
And they mutate in the direction of virulence-- the better they bind, the faster they spread.
Mr Pink said:Just because a disease improves affinity does not mean it will be more deadly. I did not see in any of links the affinity constant between the proteins. Does strong mean low millimolar or nanomolar binding in this case?
Another assumption is that by binding more tightly that the specificity will not change. I did not see in any of the links data supporting that the specificity will remain constant.
Disease do not mutate in the direction of virulence
Diseases don't have a mutation plan - they just mutate and if that strain is successful then it spreads
Swine flu is the real deal as far as a pandemic flu goes. From an emergency preparedness perspective, it is a great case study in how all the planning and money spent on what to do with pandemic flu. . . Conveniantly, the WHO response guidelines have not been followed due to "economic considerations".
I’d be more worried about the regular flu, but of course, that won’t help sell shots, because it’s not the “swine” flu.
Center for Disease Control said:Forty-eight states are reporting widespread influenza activity at this time. They are: Alabama, Alaska, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, North Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, Virginia, Washington, West Virginia, Wisconsin, and Wyoming.
This many reports of widespread activity are unprecedented during seasonal flu.
Almost all of the influenza viruses identified so far are 2009 H1N1 influenza A viruses. These viruses remain similar to the virus chosen for the 2009 H1N1 vaccine, and remain susceptible to the antiviral drugs oseltamivir and zanamivir with rare exception.
Virtually all flu cases in the US right now are H1N1.
We got that info from our doctor-- but here's what the CDC says:
CDC H1N1 Flu | Situation Update
from theabove link:
-Russ H.
Latest CDC data (FYI only, no comments implied or intended):
CDC H1N1 Flu | In The News - People living with HIV infection and 2009 H1N1
-Russ H.
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